Predictions Week 17: Good Sam Is Likely To Be Canceled


Good Sam is likely to be canceled. CBS premiered 4 rookie dramas in the fall, they’ll renew all of them, and they’ll cancel Good Sam, which had DOA level premiere ratings.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2022-23 season or cancellations by the end of the 2021-22 season.

NetShow (Producer)Status
ABCAbbott Elementary (WB/Disney)likely renewed
ABCA Million Little Things (Disney)likely renewed
ABCBig Sky (Disney)likely renewed
ABCblack-ish (Disney)renanceled*
ABCGrey's Anatomy (Disney)likely renewed, renewed 1/10
ABCHome Economics (Disney/Lionsgate)likely renewed
ABCQueens (Disney)
likely canceled
ABCStation 19 (Disney)likely renewed, renewed 1/11
ABCThe Conners (Carsey-Werner)likely renewed
ABCThe Goldbergs (Sony)likely renewed
ABCThe Good Doctor (Disney/Sony)likely renewed
ABCThe Rookie (Disney/eOne)likely renewed
ABCThe Wonder Years (Disney)likely renewed
CBSBlue Bloods (CBS)likely renewed
CBSBob Hearts Abishola (WB)likely renewed
CBSB Positive (WB)likely renewed
CBSBull (CBS)likely canceled
CBSCSI: Vegasrenewed
CBSEqualizer (CBS/NBCU)likely renewed
CBSFBI (CBS/NBCU)likely renewed
CBSFBI: International (CBS/NBCU)
likely renewed
CBSFBI: Most Wanted (CBS)likely renewed
CBSGhosts (CBS/BBC/Lionsgate)likely renewed
CBSGood Sam (CBS)likely canceled
CBSMagnum, P.I. (CBS/NBCU)likely renewed
CBSNCIS (CBS)likely renewed
CBSNCIS: Hawaii (CBS)likely renewed
CBSNCIS: Los Angeles (CBS)likely canceled
CBSSEAL Team (CBS)finished on CBS, rest of s5 on Paramount+
CBSSWAT (CBS/Sony)likely renewed
CBSThe Neighborhood (CBS)likely renewed
CBSUnited States of Al (WB)likely renewed
CBSYoung Sheldon (WB)renewed through '23-'24 season
CW4400 (CBS)likely renewed
CWAll American (WB)likely renewed
CWBatwoman (WB)likely renewed
CWDC's Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)likely renewed
CWDynasty (CBS)likely renewed
CWIn The Dark (CBS)likely renewed
CWKung Fu (WB)likely renewed
CWLegacies (WB)likely renewed
CWNancy Drew (CBS)likely renewed
CWRiverdale (WB)likely renewed
CWRoswell, NM (WB)likely renewed
CWThe Flash (WB)likely renewed
CWWalker (CBS)likely renewed
Fox9-1-1 (Disney)likely renewed
Fox9-1-1: Lonestar (Disney)likely renewed
FoxBob's Burgers (Disney)renewed
FoxDuncanville (Fox/Disney/NBCU)renewed for s3, scheduling unknown
FoxFamily Guy (Disney)renewed
FoxOur Kind of Peoplecanceled
FoxThe Big Leap (Disney)canceled
FoxThe Cleaning Lady (Fox/WB)likely renewed
FoxThe Great North (Fox/Disney)renewed
FoxThe Resident (Disney)likely renewed
FoxThe Simpsons (Disney)renewed
NBCAmerican Auto (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCChicago Fire (NBCU)renewed
NBCChicago Med (NBCU)renewed
NBCChicago P.D. (NBCU)renewed
NBCGrand Crew (NBCU)likely canceled
NBCKenan (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCLa Brea (NBCU)renewed
NBCLaw & Order: OC (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCLaw & Order: SVU (NBCU)renewed
NBCNew Amsterdam (NBCU)renewed
NBCOrdinary Joe (Disney)canceled
NBCThe Blacklist (Sony)likely renewed
NBCThis Is Us (Disney)renanceled*

ABC shows predicted to be canceled

Queens – terrible ratings, rookie show

ABC shows predicted to be renewed

Abbott Elementary – so far, so good, stay tuned.
A Million Little Things – lowest rated ABC scripted show, at risk of cancellation, but syndication economics may keep it going.
Home Economics, The Wonder Years  – borderline ratings, stay tuned
The Rookie, Big Sky – low rated, but 10pm shows often survive with far lower ratings than other time slots.
The Goldbergs  – highly rated, but old and expensive, cancellation would not be a surprise.
Grey’s Anatomy  – either ends with an announced final season or the lead doesn’t renew her contract, I’m going with the former. Renewed 1/10
Station 19 (renewed 1/11), The Conners, The Good Doctor  – would be surprised by cancellation

CBS shows predicted to be canceled

Good Sam – DOA level premiere ratings. CBS premiered 4 rookie dramas in the fall, they’ll renew all of them, they’ll cancel Good Sam.
Bull  – lowest rated CBS scripted show, it’s in season 6 after which cast contracts usually need to be renegotiated, and that often leads to cancellation.
NCIS:LA   – when a cast member says it’s over, it’s almost always over.

CBS shows predicted to be renewed

NCIS, Blue Bloods – ratings aren’t a problem, but there is always cancellation danger for these very old expensive CBS dramas, since their (non-public) syndication deals determine their longevity. Given the “news” about NCIS:LA, these two shows are less likely in danger.
FBI, FBI: Most Wanted, FBI: International, B Positive, Bob Hearts Abishola, Magnum, PI, The Neighborhood, SWAT, NCIS: Hawaii, Ghosts, Equalizer,  – would be surprised by cancellation

CW shows predicted to be canceled

Given the “CW for Sale” news, I won’t be surprised to see several cancellations, but impossible for me to predict which shows.

CW shows predicted to be renewed

4400 – OK ratings. Is CBS Studios canning their only new CW show this year? I doubt it.
Batwoman, Nancy Drew,, Legends of Tomorrow, Dynasty, In the Dark, Legacies, Riverdale, Roswell, NM, The Flash, Walker, All American – The CW is for sale! I’ve got no idea how that might effect the decisions that CBS & WB Studios make on their shows, but I’ll predict they renew them all, and take a few L’s on the shows they’ll inevitably cancel.

Fox shows predicted to be canceled

None.

Fox shows predicted to be renewed

The Cleaning Lady – so far, so good, stay tuned.
The Resident, 9-1-1 – would be surprised by cancellation

NBC shows predicted to be canceled

Grand Crew– DOA level premiere ratings, bottom of the pile of low rated NBC sitcoms

NBC shows predicted to be renewed

American Auto, Kenan– terrible ratings. How many of their dreadfully rated sitcoms will NBC keep? Stay tuned.
The Blacklist– among NBC’s lowest rated shows, but another super cheap deal from Sony could save it for a season 10.
Law & Order: OC – would be surprised by cancellation

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The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 7-0

  • Right: LaBrea, CSI:Vegas, Our Kind Of People, The Big Leap, Ordinary Joe, Grey’s Anatomy, Station 19
  • Wrong:

Renewed before their season began:
Young Sheldon, Bob’s Burgers, Family Guy, The Great North, The Simpsons, Chicago Fire, Chicago Med, Chicago P.D., Law & Order SVU & New Amsterdam were renewed for their next season before their 2021-22 seasons began. Duncanville was renewed for season 3, but with an unknown start date.

*Renanceled (renewed for a final season):
blackish & This Is Us were renanceled and will end in the 2021-22 season.

SEAL Team aired 4 episodes on CBS, and moved the remainder of s5 to Paramount+.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.