TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2022-23 season or cancellations by the end of the 2021-22 season.
|CBS||Bob Hearts Abishola (WB)||likely renewal|
|CBS||SEAL Team (CBS)||4 eps on CBS, rest of s5 on Paramount+|
|CBS||Young Sheldon (WB)||renewed through '23-'24 season|
|CW||Batwoman (WB)||likely renewal|
|CW||Nancy Drew (CBS)||likely renewal|
|Fox||9-1-1: Lonestar (Disney)||likely renewal|
|Fox||Bob's Burgers (Disney)||renewed|
|Fox||Duncanville (Fox/Disney/NBCU)||renewed for s3, timing unknown|
|Fox||Family Guy (Disney)||renewed|
|Fox||The Great North (Fox/Disney)||renewed|
|Fox||The Simpsons (Disney)||renewed|
|NBC||Chicago Fire (NBCU)||renewed|
|NBC||Chicago Med (NBCU)||renewed|
|NBC||Chicago P.D. (NBCU)||renewed|
|NBC||Law & Order: SVU (NBCU)||renewed|
|NBC||New Amsterdam (NBCU)||renewed|
|NBC||This Is Us (Disney)||renanceled*|
TV Grim Reaper will bring plenty of bad news for TV show fans this season, but his first predictions of the new season are good news, even though they’re watered down this season!
No shows are certain to be renewed for a season four in 2022-23!
The Fourth Season Guarantee of The Renewal Gods
All shows produced by a network’s own studio in the past twelve seasons that finished their third seasons with at least 66 episodes have been renewed for a fourth season.
If not for recent COVID-19 production disruptions, it’s highly likely that Nancy Drew, Batwoman and Bob Hearts Abishola would have finished their second seasons with 44 or more episodes, but they finished with just 36-38. They’ll finish their season 3’s a bit too far from 66 episodes for me to be comfortable guaranteeing a season 4 renewal. Still, I’d be shocked were any of the three canceled.
911: Lone Star finished its second season with just 24 episodes and is in a slightly less assured situation.
The prediction for all 4 will still lean heavily towards renewal regardless of ratings because cancellations among such “fewer than 66 episodes in 3 seasons” shows are rare, but not unheard of, remember Manifest!
The CW Will Announce Final Seasons Before October 1, All Remaining Non-Rookie CW Shows Will Be Certain To Be Renewed
The CW hasn’t canceled a non-rookie show without announcing a final season in advance (aka, “renanceling”) since Hart Of Dixie in Spring, 2015.
However, CW hasn’t announced any final seasons yet for 2021-22. Last year, they announced the final seasons before the 2020-21 CW shows began airing. Expect that to happen again, so news should be out before October 1. Every CW non-rookie show not announced to be in its final season will be renewed for the 2022-23 season.
Recapping the renewals and cancellations already known before the start of the season.
- Young Sheldon, Bob’s Burgers, Family Guy, The Great North, The Simpsons, Chicago Fire, Chicago Med, Chicago P.D., Law & Order SVU & New Amsterdam were renewed for their 2022-23 seasons before their 2021-22 seasons began. Duncanville was renewed for season 3, which has an unknown start date.
- blackish & This Is Us were renanceled and will end in the 2021-22 season.
- SEAL Team will air 4 episodes on CBS, and the remainder of s5 on Paramount+.
Pre-season predictions cover only shows with special circumstances.
The reaper’s outside the country this Fall and left his computer at home. To keep up with the rest of his predictions until January, 2022, follow him on Twitter @TVGrimReaper.
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The reaper’s running prediction tally this season:
Young Sheldon, Bob’s Burgers, Family Guy, The Great North, The Simpsons, Chicago Fire, Chicago Med, Chicago P.D., Law & Order SVU & New Amsterdam were renewed for their next season before their 2021-22 seasons began. Duncanville was renewed for season 3, but with an unknown start date.
*Renanceled (renewed for a final season):
blackish & This Is Us were renanceled and will end in the 2021-22 season.
SEAL Team will air 4 episodes on CBS, and the remainder of s5 on Paramount+.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.