Here are the reaper’s final TV show renewal and cancellation predictions for the 2019-20 season.
I’ll be updating this post as news arrives. Edits to the post after May 4, 2020 will be in ALL CAPS to distinguish them from the original post.
(sort the table by clicking on the column heading)
|ABC||A Million Little Things (Disney)||RENEWED|
|ABC||American Housewife (Disney)||RENEWED|
|ABC||Bless This Mess (Disney)||CANCELED|
|ABC||For Life (Disney/Sony)||likely renewal|
|ABC||Fresh Off The Boat (Disney)||canceled|
|ABC||Grey's Anatomy (Disney)||renewed|
|ABC||How To Get Away With Murder (Disney)||canceled|
|ABC||Modern Family (Disney)||canceled|
|ABC||Single Parents (Disney)||CANCELED|
|ABC||Station 19 (Disney)||renewed|
|ABC||The Baker and the Beauty (NBCU)||summer|
|ABC||The Conners (Carsey-Werner)||RENEWED|
|ABC||The Goldbergs (Sony)||RENEWED|
|ABC||The Good Doctor (Disney/Sony)||renewed|
|ABC||The Rookie (Disney/eOne)||RENEWED|
|CBS||All Rise (WB/CBS)||RENEWED|
|CBS||Blue Bloods (CBS)||RENEWED|
|CBS||Bob Hearts Abishola (WB)||RENEWED|
|CBS||Carol’s Second Act (CBS)||CANCELED|
|CBS||Criminal Minds (CBS/Disney)||canceled|
|CBS||FBI: Most Wanted (CBS)||RENEWED|
|CBS||God Friended Me (WB/CBS)||canceled|
|CBS||Hawaii Five-0 (CBS)||canceled|
|CBS||Madam Secretary (CBS)||canceled|
|CBS||Magnum, P.I. (CBS/NBCU)||RENEWED|
|CBS||Man With A Plan (CBS)||CANCELED|
|CBS||NCIS: Los Angeles (CBS)||RENEWED|
|CBS||NCIS: New Orleans (CBS)||RENEWED|
|CBS||SEAL Team (CBS)||RENEWED|
|CBS||The Neighborhood (CBS)||RENEWED|
|CBS||The Unicorn (CBS)||RENEWED|
|CBS||Young Sheldon (WB)||renewed|
|CW||All American (WB)||renewed|
|CW||Black Lightning (WB)||renewed|
|CW||DC's Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)||renewed|
|CW||In The Dark (CBS)||renewed|
|CW||Katy Keene (WB)||likely renewal|
|CW||Nancy Drew (CBS)||renewed|
|CW||Roswell, NM (WB)||renewed|
|CW||The Flash (WB)||renewed|
|Fox||9-1-1: Lonestar (Disney)||renewed|
|Fox||Almost Family (Fox/ NBCU)||canceled|
|Fox||Bless The Harts (Fox/Disney)||renewed|
|Fox||Bob's Burgers (Disney)||RENEWED|
|Fox||Family Guy (Disney)||RENEWED|
|Fox||Last Man Standing (Disney)||RENEWED|
|Fox||Prodigal Son (WB/Fox)||RENEWED|
|Fox||The Resident (Disney)||RENEWED|
|Fox||The Simpsons (Disney)||renewed|
|NBC||Bluff City Law (NBCU)||canceled|
|NBC||Brooklyn Nine-Nine (NBCU)||renewed|
|NBC||Chicago Fire (NBCU)||renewed through '22-'23 season|
|NBC||Chicago Med (NBCU)||renewed through '22-'23 season|
|NBC||Chicago P.D. (NBCU)||renewed through '22-'23 season|
|NBC||Council of Dads (NBCU)||summer show|
|NBC||Good Girls (NBCU)||RENEWED|
|NBC||Indebted (Sony/NBCU)||likely cancellation|
|NBC||Law & Order: SVU (NBCU)||renewed through '22-'23 season|
|NBC||Lincoln Rhyme: Hunt for the Bone Collector (NBCU/Sony)||likely renewal|
|NBC||Manifest (WB)||likely renewal|
|NBC||New Amsterdam (NBCU)||renewed through '22-'23 season|
|NBC||Perfect Harmony (Disney)||canceled|
|NBC||The Blacklist (Sony)||renewed|
|NBC||The Good Place (NBCU)||canceled|
|NBC||This Is Us (Disney)||renewed through '21-'22 season|
|NBC||Will & Grace (NBCU)||canceled|
|NBC||Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist (NBCU)||likely cancellation|
ABC shows predicted to be canceled
Stumptown (RENEWED) – lowest rated ABC show not already canceled, in a normal year it’s doomed, but with the disrupted pilot season anything can happen.
ABC shows predicted to be renewed
For Life – the disrupted pilot season makes its renewal more likely, but in a normal year it’s probably dead.
Mixed-ish (RENEWED), Black-ish (RENEWED), Bless This Mess (CANCELED), Schooled (CANCELED), Single Parents (CANCELED) – all borderline ratings, 1-2 of these would likely be canceled in a normal year, but with the disrupted pilot season predicting renewal for all.
The Conners, The Goldbergs, A Million Little Things, American Housewife, The Rookie (ALL RENEWED) – ratings in the renewal range.
CBS shows predicted to be canceled
CBS shows predicted to be renewed
Broke (CANCELED), The Unicorn (RENEWED), Carol’s Second Act (CANCELED) – In a normal year, CBS wouldn’t renew all their rookie sitcoms, but with COVID-19 disrupting pilot production, I’m guessing existing show renewals will happen over pilot pickups. Won’t try to spearfish which of these three get canceled. Instead, will predict all three get renewed, but won’t be surprised if one isn’t.
Man With A Plan (CANCELED) – it’s the longest running CBS produced sitcom in over a decade, would be surprised if it ended this season.
Tommy (CANCELED) – lowest rated CBS show, in a normal season this show would be 100% dead, but with the pilot season disrupted, am holding the prediction at marginal renewal.
All Rise (RENEWED),– in a normal year, it would be in some danger, but with the disrupted pilot season the risk for it is now likely low. (but not low enough for now cancelled God Friended Me!)
Bull – CBS 4th season drama cancellations are rare.
NCIS: New Orleans, NCIS: LA, Blue Bloods, NCIS (ALL RENEWED),– with three veteran dramas already ending this season, and the disrupted pilot season, there is now little risk to these shows.
SEAL Team, SWAT (BOTH RENEWED),– shows like these two that are produced by the corporate studio and end season 3 with 66 or more episodes have not been canceled in 12 years.
The Neighborhood, FBI, Magnum P.I., MacGyver, FBI: Most Wanted, Bob Hearts Abishola (ALL RENEWED),– ratings in the renewal range.
CW shows predicted to be canceled
CW shows predicted to be renewed
Katy Keene – default prediction for any CW show, and with the disrupted pilot season will stick with it.
Fox shows predicted to be canceled
Outmatched (CANCELED)– ratings borderline, and Fox has very limited slots for live action sitcoms.
Fox shows predicted to be renewed
The Resident (RENEWED) – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
Family Guy (RENEWED), Bob’s Burgers (RENEWED), Last Man Standing (RENEWED), Prodigal Son (RENEWED) – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues.
NBC shows predicted to be canceled
NBC shows predicted to be renewed
Lincoln Rhyme: Hunt for the Bone Collector – final 3 episode ratings were decent for a Friday show. Given the disruption in in the pilot process for next season, marginal shows like Lincoln may be renewed instead of pilots that were unable to finish the process.
Manifest – good enough ratings, particularly this year.
Good Girls (RENEWED) – low ratings, but third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings. Netflix co-production, and history of receiving CA state tax credits are also positives.
The reaper doesn’t make predictions for shows like Council of Dads and The Baker and The Beauty that air more than half their episodes in broadcast summer (May 21-) because he’d be no better at it than a coin flip!
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Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.
The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 60-13
- Right: Sunnyside, Bluff City Law, Bless The Harts, Evil, Almost Family, Emergence, Perfect Harmony, Black Lightning, Charmed, Legends of Tomorrow, Dynasty, In the Dark, Legacies, Riverdale, Roswell, NM, Supergirl, The Flash, Batwoman, Nancy Drew, New Amsterdam, The Good Doctor, Superstore, The Blacklist, Chicago PD, Chicago Med, Chicago Fire, Law & Order: SVU, Station 19, 911, 911: Lone Star, Blue Bloods, Bull, FBI, MacGyver, Magnum PI, Mom, NCIS, NCISLA, NCISNOLA, The Neighborhood, SEAL Team, SWAT, FBIMostWanted, All Rise, Bob Hearts Abishola, The Unicorn, Bob’s Burgers, Family Guy, Good Girls, Last Man Standing, The Resident, Outmatched, The Conners, The Goldbergs, A Million Little Things, American Housewife, The Rookie, Mixed-ish, Black-ish, Prodigal Son
- Wrong: Fresh Off The Boat, Hawaii Five-0, Deputy, Duncanville, God Friended Me, Broke, Carol’s Second Act, Tommy, Man With A Plan, Stumptown, Bless This Mess, Schooled, Single Parents
Grey’s Anatomy, Mom, Young Sheldon,The Simpsons and This is Us were renewed for the 2020-21 season before the 2019-20 season began.
Modern Family, How To Get Away With Murder, Madam Secretary, Criminal Minds, Arrow, Supernatural, Empire, Blindspot, Will & Grace and The Good Place were canceled before the 2019-20 season began and will end in the 2019-20 season.
TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2020-21 season or cancellations by the end of the 2019-20 season.