Predictions Week 30: Tommy Is Likely To Be Renewed

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Tommy is likely to be renewed. It’s the lowest rated CBS show still on the air, and a normal season this show would be 100% dead. However, with the pilot season disrupted, I shifted the prediction to likely renewed several weeks ago.

(sort the table by clicking on the column heading)

NetShow (Producer)Status
ABCA Million Little Things (Disney)likely renewal
ABCAmerican Housewife (Disney)likely renewal
ABCblack-ish (Disney)likely renewal
ABCBless This Mess (Disney)likely renewal
ABCEmergence (Disney)canceled
ABCFor Life (Disney/Sony)likely renewal
ABCFresh Off The Boat (Disney)canceled
ABCGrey's Anatomy (Disney)renewed
ABCHow To Get Away With Murder (Disney)canceled
ABCMixed-ish (Disney)likely renewal
ABCModern Family (Disney)canceled
ABCSingle Parents (Disney)likely renewal
ABCSchooled (Disney/Sony)likely renewal
ABCStation 19 (Disney)renewed
ABCStumptown (Disney)likely cancellation
ABCThe Conners (Carsey-Werner)likely renewal
ABCThe Goldbergs (Sony)likely renewal
ABCThe Good Doctor (Disney/Sony)renewed
ABCThe Rookie (Disney/eOne)likely renewal
CBSAll Rise (WB/CBS)likely renewal
CBSBlue Bloods (CBS)likely renewal
CBSBob Hearts Abishola (WB)likely renewal
CBSBroke (CBS)likely renewal
CBSBull (CBS)likely renewal
CBSCarol’s Second Act (CBS)likely renewal
CBSCriminal Minds (CBS/Disney)canceled
CBSEvil (CBS)renewed
CBSFBI (CBS/NBCU)likely renewal
CBSFBI: Most Wanted (CBS)likely renewal
CBSGod Friended Me (WB/CBS)likely renewal
CBSHawaii Five-0 (CBS)canceled
CBSMacGyver (CBS)likely renewal
CBSMadam Secretary (CBS)canceled
CBSMagnum, P.I. (CBS/NBCU)likely renewal
CBSMan With A Plan (CBS)likely renewal
CBSMom (WB)renewed
CBSNCIS (CBS)likely renewal
CBSNCIS: Los Angeles (CBS)likely renewal
CBSNCIS: New Orleans (CBS)likely renewal
CBSSEAL Team (CBS)certain renewal
CBSSWAT (CBS/Sony)certain renewal
CBSThe Neighborhood (CBS)likely renewal
CBSThe Unicorn (CBS)likely renewal
CBSTommy (Amblin)likely renewal
CBSYoung Sheldon (WB)renewed
CWAll American (WB)renewed
CWArrow (WB)canceled
CWBatwoman (WB)renewed
CWBlack Lightning (WB)renewed
CWCharmed (CBS)renewed
CWDC's Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)renewed
CWDynasty (CBS)renewed
CWIn The Dark (CBS)renewed
CWKaty Keene (WB)likely renewal
CWLegacies (WB)renewed
CWNancy Drew (CBS)renewed
CWRiverdale (WB)renewed
CWRoswell, NM (WB)renewed
CWSupergirl (WB)renewed
CWSupernatural (WB)canceled
CWThe Flash (WB)renewed
Fox9-1-1 (Disney)likely renewal
Fox9-1-1: Lonestar (Disney)likely renewal
FoxAlmost Family (Fox/ NBCU)canceled
FoxBless The Harts (Fox/Disney)renewed
FoxBob's Burgers (Disney)likely renewal
FoxDeputy (Fox/eOne)canceled
FoxDuncanville (Fox/Disney/NBCU)renewed
FoxEmpire (Disney)canceled
FoxFamily Guy (Disney)likely renewal
FoxLast Man Standing (Disney)likely renewal
FoxOutmatched (Disney/Fox)likely cancellation
FoxProdigal Son (WB/Fox)likely renewal
FoxThe Resident (Disney)likely renewal
FoxThe Simpsons (Disney)renewed
NBCBlindspot (WB)canceled
NBCBluff City Law (NBCU)canceled
NBCBrooklyn Nine-Nine (NBCU)renewed
NBCChicago Fire (NBCU)renewed through '22-'23 season
NBCChicago Med (NBCU)renewed through '22-'23 season
NBCChicago P.D. (NBCU)renewed through '22-'23 season
NBCCouncil of Dads (NBCU)summer show
NBCGood Girls (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCIndebted (Sony/NBCU)likely cancellation
NBCLaw & Order: SVU (NBCU)renewed through '22-'23 season
NBCLincoln Rhyme: Hunt for the Bone Collector (NBCU/Sony)likely renewal
NBCManifest (WB)likely renewal
NBCNew Amsterdam (NBCU)renewed through '22-'23 season
NBCPerfect Harmony (Disney)canceled
NBCSunnyside (NBCU)canceled
NBCSuperstore (NBCU)renewed
NBCThe Blacklist (Sony)renewed
NBCThe Good Place (NBCU)canceled
NBCThis Is Us (Disney)renewed through '21-'22 season
NBCWill & Grace (NBCU)canceled
NBCZoey's Extraordinary Playlist (NBCU)likely cancellation

ABC shows predicted to be canceled

Stumptown  – lowest rated ABC show not already canceled, in a normal year it’s doomed, but with the disrupted pilot season anything can happen.

ABC shows predicted to be renewed

For Life  – the disrupted pilot season makes its renewal nearly certain.
Mixed-ish, Black-ish  – borderline ratings, in potential danger in a normal year, but with the disrupted pilot season renewal seems likely.
The Conners, Bless This Mess,The Goldbergs, Schooled, A Million Little Things, American Housewife, Single Parents, The Rookie  – ratings in the renewal range.

CBS shows predicted to be canceled

CBS shows predicted to be renewed

Broke – late season premier rookies are always a long shot, but premier ratings were good, casts doubt on the Unicorn & Carol’s predictions.
Man With A Plan – it’s the longest running CBS produced sitcom in over a decade, would be surprised if it ended this season.
Tommy – lowest rated CBS show, in a normal season this show would be 100% dead, but with the pilot season disrupted, am shifting the prediction to marginal renewal.
All Rise, God Friended Me – in a normal year, both show’s would be in some danger, but with the disrupted pilot season the risk for them is now likely low.
The Unicorn, Carol’s Second Act – each received only 5 additional episodes ordered, which is a negative indicator for renewal. In a normal year, CBS would not renew all their rookie sitcoms, but with COVID-19 disrupting pilot production, existing show renewals will likely happen over pilot pickups.
Bull – CBS 4th season drama cancellations are rare.
NCIS: New Orleans, NCIS: LA, Blue Bloods, NCIS  – with three veteran dramas already ending this season, and the disrupted pilot season, there is now little risk to these shows.
SEAL Team, SWAT – shows like these two that are produced by the corporate studio and end season 3 with 66 or more episodes have not been canceled in 12 years.
The Neighborhood, FBI, Young Sheldon,  Magnum P.I., MacGyver, FBI: Most Wanted, Bob Hearts Abishola  – ratings in the renewal range.

CW shows predicted to be canceled

CW shows predicted to be renewed

Katy Keene – default prediction for any CW show, and with the disrupted pilot season will keep this prediction as is.

Fox shows predicted to be canceled

Outmatched– ratings borderline, and Fox has very limited slots for live action sitcoms.

Fox shows predicted to be renewed

The Resident – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
9-1-1, Family Guy, Bob’s Burgers, Last Man Standing, 911: Lone Star, Prodigal Son – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues.

NBC shows predicted to be canceled

Indebted, Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist  – low ratings

NBC shows predicted to be renewed

Lincoln Rhyme: Hunt for the Bone Collector – final 3 episode ratings were decent for a Friday show. Given the disruption in in the pilot process for next season, marginal shows like Lincoln may be renewed instead of pilots that were unable to finish the process, and if NBC is going to renew a single rookie drama it’s most likely to be Lincoln.
Manifest – good enough ratings.
Good Girls – low ratings, but third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings. Netflix co-production, and history of receiving CA state tax credits are positives.

Summer shows

The reaper doesn’t make predictions for shows like Council of Dads that air more than half their episodes in broadcast summer (May 21-) because he’d be no better at it than a coin flip!

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Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.

The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 28-4

  • Right: Sunnyside, Bluff City Law, Bless The Harts, Evil, Almost Family, Emergence, Perfect Harmony, Black Lightning, Charmed, Legends of Tomorrow, Dynasty, In the Dark, Legacies, Riverdale, Roswell, NM, Supergirl, The Flash, Batwoman, Nancy Drew, New Amsterdam, The Good Doctor, Superstore, The Blacklist, Chicago PD, Chicago Med, Chicago Fire, Law & Order: SVU, Station 19
  • Wrong: Fresh Off The Boat, Hawaii Five-0, Deputy, Duncanville

Grey’s Anatomy, Mom, Young Sheldon,The Simpsons and This is Us were renewed for the 2020-21 season before the 2019-20 season began.

Modern Family, How To Get Away With Murder, Madam Secretary, Criminal Minds, Arrow, Supernatural, Empire, Blindspot, Will & Grace and The Good Place were canceled before the 2019-20 season began and will end in the 2019-20 season.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2020-21 season or cancellations by the end of the 2019-20 season.

See all the Reaper’s past weekly predictions here

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.