Predictions Week 25: Duncanville Is Likely To Be Canceled

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Duncanville is likely to be canceled. It’s Fox’s lowest rated current show, they have very high ratings thresholds for their Sunday animated series, and Bless the Harts has already been renewed.

(sort the table by clicking on the column heading)

NetShow (Producer)Status
ABCA Million Little Things (Disney)likely renewal
ABCAmerican Housewife (Disney)likely renewal
ABCblack-ish (Disney)likely renewal
ABCBless This Mess (Disney)likely renewal
ABCEmergence (Disney)canceled
ABCFor Life (Disney/Sony)likely renewal
ABCFresh Off The Boat (Disney)canceled
ABCGrey's Anatomy (Disney)renewed
ABCHow To Get Away With Murder (Disney)canceled
ABCMixed-ish (Disney)likely renewal
ABCModern Family (Disney)canceled
ABCSingle Parents (Disney)likely renewal
ABCSchooled (Disney/Sony)likely renewal
ABCStation 19 (Disney)likely renewal
ABCStumptown (Disney)likely cancellation
ABCThe Conners (Carsey-Werner)likely renewal
ABCThe Goldbergs (Sony)likely renewal
ABCThe Good Doctor (Disney/Sony)renewed
ABCThe Rookie (Disney/eOne)likely renewal
CBSAll Rise (WB/CBS)likely renewal
CBSBlue Bloods (CBS)likely renewal
CBSBob Hearts Abishola (WB)likely renewal
CBSBull (CBS)likely renewal
CBSCarol’s Second Act (CBS)likely renewal
CBSCriminal Minds (CBS/Disney)canceled
CBSEvil (CBS)renewed
CBSFBI (CBS/NBCU)likely renewal
CBSFBI: Most Wanted (CBS)likely renewal
CBSGod Friended Me (WB/CBS)likely renewal
CBSHawaii Five-0 (CBS)canceled
CBSMacGyver (CBS)likely renewal
CBSMadam Secretary (CBS)canceled
CBSMagnum, P.I. (CBS/NBCU)likely renewal
CBSMom (WB)renewed
CBSNCIS (CBS)likely renewal
CBSNCIS: Los Angeles (CBS)likely renewal
CBSNCIS: New Orleans (CBS)likely renewal
CBSSEAL Team (CBS)certain renewal
CBSSWAT (CBS/Sony)certain renewal
CBSThe Neighborhood (CBS)likely renewal
CBSThe Unicorn (CBS)likely renewal
CBSTommy (Amblin)likely cancellation
CBSYoung Sheldon (WB)renewed
CWAll American (WB)renewed
CWArrow (WB)canceled
CWBatwoman (WB)renewed
CWBlack Lightning (WB)renewed
CWCharmed (CBS)renewed
CWDC's Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)renewed
CWDynasty (CBS)renewed
CWIn The Dark (CBS)renewed
CWKaty Keene (WB)likely renewal
CWLegacies (WB)renewed
CWNancy Drew (CBS)renewed
CWRiverdale (WB)renewed
CWRoswell, NM (WB)renewed
CWSupergirl (WB)renewed
CWSupernatural (WB)canceled
CWThe Flash (WB)renewed
Fox9-1-1 (Disney)likely renewal
Fox9-1-1: Lonestar (Disney)likely renewal
FoxAlmost Family (Disney/ NBCU)canceled
FoxBless The Harts (Disney)renewed
FoxBob's Burgers (Disney)likely renewal
FoxDeputy (Disney/eOne)likely cancellation
FoxDuncanville (Disney/NBCU)likely cancellation
FoxEmpire (Disney)canceled
FoxFamily Guy (Disney)likely renewal
FoxLast Man Standing (Disney)likely renewal
FoxOutmatched (Disney)likely cancellation
FoxProdigal Son (WB)likely renewal
FoxThe Resident (Disney)likely renewal
FoxThe Simpsons (Disney)renewed
NBCBlindspot (WB)canceled
NBCBluff City Law (NBCU)canceled
NBCBrooklyn Nine-Nine (NBCU)renewed
NBCChicago Fire (NBCU)renewed through '22-'23 season
NBCChicago Med (NBCU)renewed through '22-'23 season
NBCChicago P.D. (NBCU)renewed through '22-'23 season
NBCGood Girls (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCIndebted (Sony/NBCU)likely cancellation
NBCLaw & Order: SVU (NBCU)renewed through '22-'23 season
NBCLincoln Rhyme: Hunt for the Bone Collector (NBCU/Sony)likely cancellation
NBCManifest (WB)likely renewal
NBCNew Amsterdam (NBCU)renewed through '22-'23 season
NBCPerfect Harmony (Disney)canceled
NBCSunnyside (NBCU)canceled
NBCSuperstore (NBCU)renewed
NBCThe Blacklist (Sony)renewed
NBCThe Good Place (NBCU)canceled
NBCThis Is Us (Disney)renewed through '21-'22 season
NBCWill & Grace (NBCU)canceled
NBCZoey's Extraordinary Playlist (NBCU)likely cancellation

ABC shows predicted to be canceled

Stumptown  – lowest rated ABC show not already canceled

ABC shows predicted to be renewed

For Life  – OK early ratings. Stay tuned.
Mixed-ish, Black-ish  – borderline ratings, stay tuned
Station 19 – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
The Conners, Bless This Mess,The Goldbergs, Schooled, A Million Little Things, American Housewife, Single Parents, The Rookie  – ratings in the renewal range.

CBS shows predicted to be canceled

Tommy – lowest rated CBS show

CBS shows predicted to be renewed

All Rise – it received an order of 9 additional episodes, which is a positive indicator for renewal, but being produced by Warner Brothers is a negative. Recent ratings have recovered into the borderline range, this is a close call.
God Friended Me – 2020 ratings have plunged, putting its future in doubt, another close call.
The Unicorn, Carol’s Second Act – each received only 5 additional episodes ordered, which is a negative indicator for renewal, their spring ratings are borderline, likely at least one of these shows will likely be canceled.
Bob Hearts Abishola – received an order of 9 additional episodes which is a positive indicator for renewal, ratings in the renewal range.
Bull – CBS 4th season drama cancellations are rare.
NCIS: New Orleans, NCIS: LA, Blue Bloods, NCIS – there is some danger (far less for the rest, now that Hawaii Five-0 has been canceled) for these very old CBS dramas, since their (non-public) syndication deals determine their longevity, although a renewal for a final season is a more likely outcome than cancellation this season. Although, that wasn’t true for Hawaii Five-0!
SEAL Team, SWAT – shows like these two that are produced by the corporate studio and end season 3 with 66 or more episodes have not been canceled in 12 years.
The Neighborhood, FBI, Young Sheldon,  Magnum P.I., MacGyver, FBI: Most Wanted  – ratings in the renewal range.

CW shows predicted to be canceled

CW shows predicted to be renewed

Katy Keene – default prediction for any CW show, but  spring premiere CW shows do have a chance of being canceled, stay tuned.

Fox shows predicted to be canceled

Duncanville– low ratings, Bless the Harts already renewed reducing the need for another animated show.
Deputy– ratings borderline, but unlikely Fox will renew it in addition to 911: LoneStar & Prodigal Son.
Outmatched– ratings borderline, and Fox has very limited slots for live action sitcoms.

Fox shows predicted to be renewed

Prodigal Son– ratings still fine. Stay tuned.
The Resident – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
9-1-1, Family Guy, Bob’s Burgers, Last Man Standing, 911: Lone Star – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues

NBC shows predicted to be canceled

Lincoln Rhyme: Hunt for the Bone Collector, Indebted, Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist  – low ratings

NBC shows predicted to be renewed

Manifest – good enough ratings, stay tuned.
Good Girls – low ratings, but third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings. Netflix co-production, and history of receiving CA state tax credits are positives.

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Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.

The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 27-2

  • Right: Sunnyside, Bluff City Law, Bless The Harts, Evil, Almost Family, Emergence, Perfect Harmony, Black Lightning, Charmed, Legends of Tomorrow, Dynasty, In the Dark, Legacies, Riverdale, Roswell, NM, Supergirl, The Flash, Batwoman, Nancy Drew, New Amsterdam, The Good Doctor, Superstore, The Blacklist, Chicago PD, Chicago Med, Chicago Fire, Law & Order: SVU
  • Wrong: Fresh Off The Boat, Hawaii Five-0

Grey’s Anatomy, Mom, Young Sheldon,The Simpsons and This is Us were renewed for the 2020-21 season before the 2019-20 season began.

Modern Family, How To Get Away With Murder, Madam Secretary, Criminal Minds, Arrow, Supernatural, Empire, Blindspot, Will & Grace and The Good Place were canceled before the 2019-20 season began and will end in the 2019-20 season.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2020-21 season or cancellations by the end of the 2019-20 season.

See all the Reaper’s past weekly predictions here

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.