Duncanville is likely to be canceled. It’s Fox’s lowest rated current show, they have very high ratings thresholds for their Sunday animated series, and Bless the Harts has already been renewed.
(sort the table by clicking on the column heading)
|ABC||A Million Little Things (Disney)||likely renewal|
|ABC||American Housewife (Disney)||likely renewal|
|ABC||black-ish (Disney)||likely renewal|
|ABC||Bless This Mess (Disney)||likely renewal|
|ABC||For Life (Disney/Sony)||likely renewal|
|ABC||Fresh Off The Boat (Disney)||canceled|
|ABC||Grey's Anatomy (Disney)||renewed|
|ABC||How To Get Away With Murder (Disney)||canceled|
|ABC||Mixed-ish (Disney)||likely renewal|
|ABC||Modern Family (Disney)||canceled|
|ABC||Single Parents (Disney)||likely renewal|
|ABC||Schooled (Disney/Sony)||likely renewal|
|ABC||Station 19 (Disney)||likely renewal|
|ABC||Stumptown (Disney)||likely cancellation|
|ABC||The Conners (Carsey-Werner)||likely renewal|
|ABC||The Goldbergs (Sony)||likely renewal|
|ABC||The Good Doctor (Disney/Sony)||renewed|
|ABC||The Rookie (Disney/eOne)||likely renewal|
|CBS||All Rise (WB/CBS)||likely renewal|
|CBS||Blue Bloods (CBS)||likely renewal|
|CBS||Bob Hearts Abishola (WB)||likely renewal|
|CBS||Bull (CBS)||likely renewal|
|CBS||Carol’s Second Act (CBS)||likely renewal|
|CBS||Criminal Minds (CBS/Disney)||canceled|
|CBS||FBI (CBS/NBCU)||likely renewal|
|CBS||FBI: Most Wanted (CBS)||likely renewal|
|CBS||God Friended Me (WB/CBS)||likely renewal|
|CBS||Hawaii Five-0 (CBS)||canceled|
|CBS||MacGyver (CBS)||likely renewal|
|CBS||Madam Secretary (CBS)||canceled|
|CBS||Magnum, P.I. (CBS/NBCU)||likely renewal|
|CBS||NCIS (CBS)||likely renewal|
|CBS||NCIS: Los Angeles (CBS)||likely renewal|
|CBS||NCIS: New Orleans (CBS)||likely renewal|
|CBS||SEAL Team (CBS)||certain renewal|
|CBS||SWAT (CBS/Sony)||certain renewal|
|CBS||The Neighborhood (CBS)||likely renewal|
|CBS||The Unicorn (CBS)||likely renewal|
|CBS||Tommy (Amblin)||likely cancellation|
|CBS||Young Sheldon (WB)||renewed|
|CW||All American (WB)||renewed|
|CW||Black Lightning (WB)||renewed|
|CW||DC's Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)||renewed|
|CW||In The Dark (CBS)||renewed|
|CW||Katy Keene (WB)||likely renewal|
|CW||Nancy Drew (CBS)||renewed|
|CW||Roswell, NM (WB)||renewed|
|CW||The Flash (WB)||renewed|
|Fox||9-1-1 (Disney)||likely renewal|
|Fox||9-1-1: Lonestar (Disney)||likely renewal|
|Fox||Almost Family (Disney/ NBCU)||canceled|
|Fox||Bless The Harts (Disney)||renewed|
|Fox||Bob's Burgers (Disney)||likely renewal|
|Fox||Deputy (Disney/eOne)||likely cancellation|
|Fox||Duncanville (Disney/NBCU)||likely cancellation|
|Fox||Family Guy (Disney)||likely renewal|
|Fox||Last Man Standing (Disney)||likely renewal|
|Fox||Outmatched (Disney)||likely cancellation|
|Fox||Prodigal Son (WB)||likely renewal|
|Fox||The Resident (Disney)||likely renewal|
|Fox||The Simpsons (Disney)||renewed|
|NBC||Bluff City Law (NBCU)||canceled|
|NBC||Brooklyn Nine-Nine (NBCU)||renewed|
|NBC||Chicago Fire (NBCU)||renewed through '22-'23 season|
|NBC||Chicago Med (NBCU)||renewed through '22-'23 season|
|NBC||Chicago P.D. (NBCU)||renewed through '22-'23 season|
|NBC||Good Girls (NBCU)||likely renewal|
|NBC||Indebted (Sony/NBCU)||likely cancellation|
|NBC||Law & Order: SVU (NBCU)||renewed through '22-'23 season|
|NBC||Lincoln Rhyme: Hunt for the Bone Collector (NBCU/Sony)||likely cancellation|
|NBC||Manifest (WB)||likely renewal|
|NBC||New Amsterdam (NBCU)||renewed through '22-'23 season|
|NBC||Perfect Harmony (Disney)||canceled|
|NBC||The Blacklist (Sony)||renewed|
|NBC||The Good Place (NBCU)||canceled|
|NBC||This Is Us (Disney)||renewed through '21-'22 season|
|NBC||Will & Grace (NBCU)||canceled|
|NBC||Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist (NBCU)||likely cancellation|
ABC shows predicted to be canceled
Stumptown – lowest rated ABC show not already canceled
ABC shows predicted to be renewed
For Life – OK early ratings. Stay tuned.
Mixed-ish, Black-ish – borderline ratings, stay tuned
Station 19 – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
The Conners, Bless This Mess,The Goldbergs, Schooled, A Million Little Things, American Housewife, Single Parents, The Rookie – ratings in the renewal range.
CBS shows predicted to be canceled
Tommy – lowest rated CBS show
CBS shows predicted to be renewed
All Rise – it received an order of 9 additional episodes, which is a positive indicator for renewal, but being produced by Warner Brothers is a negative. Recent ratings have recovered into the borderline range, this is a close call.
God Friended Me – 2020 ratings have plunged, putting its future in doubt, another close call.
The Unicorn, Carol’s Second Act – each received only 5 additional episodes ordered, which is a negative indicator for renewal, their spring ratings are borderline, likely at least one of these shows will likely be canceled.
Bob Hearts Abishola – received an order of 9 additional episodes which is a positive indicator for renewal, ratings in the renewal range.
Bull – CBS 4th season drama cancellations are rare.
NCIS: New Orleans, NCIS: LA, Blue Bloods, NCIS – there is some danger (far less for the rest, now that Hawaii Five-0 has been canceled) for these very old CBS dramas, since their (non-public) syndication deals determine their longevity, although a renewal for a final season is a more likely outcome than cancellation this season. Although, that wasn’t true for Hawaii Five-0!
SEAL Team, SWAT – shows like these two that are produced by the corporate studio and end season 3 with 66 or more episodes have not been canceled in 12 years.
The Neighborhood, FBI, Young Sheldon, Magnum P.I., MacGyver, FBI: Most Wanted – ratings in the renewal range.
CW shows predicted to be canceled
CW shows predicted to be renewed
Katy Keene – default prediction for any CW show, but spring premiere CW shows do have a chance of being canceled, stay tuned.
Fox shows predicted to be canceled
Duncanville– low ratings, Bless the Harts already renewed reducing the need for another animated show.
Deputy– ratings borderline, but unlikely Fox will renew it in addition to 911: LoneStar & Prodigal Son.
Outmatched– ratings borderline, and Fox has very limited slots for live action sitcoms.
Fox shows predicted to be renewed
Prodigal Son– ratings still fine. Stay tuned.
The Resident – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
9-1-1, Family Guy, Bob’s Burgers, Last Man Standing, 911: Lone Star – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues
NBC shows predicted to be canceled
Lincoln Rhyme: Hunt for the Bone Collector, Indebted, Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist – low ratings
NBC shows predicted to be renewed
Manifest – good enough ratings, stay tuned.
Good Girls – low ratings, but third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings. Netflix co-production, and history of receiving CA state tax credits are positives.
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Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.
The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 27-2
- Right: Sunnyside, Bluff City Law, Bless The Harts, Evil, Almost Family, Emergence, Perfect Harmony, Black Lightning, Charmed, Legends of Tomorrow, Dynasty, In the Dark, Legacies, Riverdale, Roswell, NM, Supergirl, The Flash, Batwoman, Nancy Drew, New Amsterdam, The Good Doctor, Superstore, The Blacklist, Chicago PD, Chicago Med, Chicago Fire, Law & Order: SVU
- Wrong: Fresh Off The Boat, Hawaii Five-0
Grey’s Anatomy, Mom, Young Sheldon,The Simpsons and This is Us were renewed for the 2020-21 season before the 2019-20 season began.
Modern Family, How To Get Away With Murder, Madam Secretary, Criminal Minds, Arrow, Supernatural, Empire, Blindspot, Will & Grace and The Good Place were canceled before the 2019-20 season began and will end in the 2019-20 season.
TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2020-21 season or cancellations by the end of the 2019-20 season.