Predictions Week 21: Stumptown Is Likely To Be Canceled

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Stumptown is likely to be canceled. Its ratings have been borderline at best all season, and now are solidly below every other ABC show except the already canceled Emergence & Fresh Off The Boat.

(sort the table by clicking on the column heading)

NetShow (Producer)Status
ABCA Million Little Things (Disney)likely renewal
ABCAmerican Housewife (Disney)likely renewal
ABCblack-ish (Disney)likely renewal
ABCBless This Mess (Disney)likely renewal
ABCEmergence (Disney)canceled
ABCFresh Off The Boat (Disney)canceled
ABCGrey's Anatomy (Disney)renewed
ABCHow To Get Away With Murder (Disney)canceled
ABCMixed-ish (Disney)likely renewal
ABCModern Family (Disney)canceled
ABCSingle Parents (Disney)likely renewal
ABCSchooled (Disney/Sony)likely renewal
ABCStation 19 (Disney)likely renewal
ABCStumptown (Disney)likely cancellation
ABCThe Conners (Carsey-Werner)likely renewal
ABCThe Goldbergs (Sony)likely renewal
ABCThe Good Doctor (Disney/Sony)likely renewal
ABCThe Rookie (Disney/eOne)likely renewal
CBSAll Rise (WB/CBS)likely cancellation
CBSBlue Bloods (CBS)likely renewal
CBSBob Hearts Abishola (WB)likely renewal
CBSBull (CBS)likely renewal
CBSCarol’s Second Act (CBS)likely renewal
CBSCriminal Minds (CBS/Disney)canceled
CBSEvil (CBS)renewed
CBSFBI (CBS/NBCU)likely renewal
CBSFBI: Most Wanted (CBS)likely renewal
CBSGod Friended Me (WB/CBS)likely renewal
CBSHawaii Five-0 (CBS)likely renewal
CBSMacGyver (CBS)likely renewal
CBSMadam Secretary (CBS)canceled
CBSMagnum, P.I. (CBS/NBCU)likely renewal
CBSMom (WB)renewed
CBSNCIS (CBS)likely renewal
CBSNCIS: Los Angeles (CBS)likely renewal
CBSNCIS: New Orleans (CBS)likely renewal
CBSSEAL Team (CBS)certain renewal
CBSSWAT (CBS/Sony)certain renewal
CBSThe Neighborhood (CBS)likely renewal
CBSThe Unicorn (CBS)likely renewal
CBSTommy (Amblin)likely cancellation
CBSYoung Sheldon (WB)renewed
CWAll American (WB)renewed
CWArrow (WB)canceled
CWBatwoman (WB)renewed
CWBlack Lightning (WB)renewed
CWCharmed (CBS)renewed
CWDC's Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)renewed
CWDynasty (CBS)renewed
CWIn The Dark (CBS)renewed
CWKaty Keene (WB)likely renewal
CWLegacies (WB)renewed
CWNancy Drew (CBS)renewed
CWRiverdale (WB)renewed
CWRoswell, NM (WB)renewed
CWSupergirl (WB)renewed
CWSupernatural (WB)canceled
CWThe Flash (WB)renewed
Fox9-1-1 (Disney)likely renewal
Fox9-1-1: Lonestar (Disney)likely renewal
FoxAlmost Family (Disney)canceled
FoxBless The Harts (Disney)renewed
FoxBob's Burgers (Disney)likely renewal
FoxDeputy (Disney)likely cancellation
FoxEmpire (Disney)canceled
FoxFamily Guy (Disney)likely renewal
FoxLast Man Standing (Disney)likely renewal
FoxOutmatched (Disney)likely renewal
FoxProdigal Son (WB)likely renewal
FoxThe Resident (Disney)likely renewal
FoxThe Simpsons (Disney)renewed
NBCBlindspot (WB)canceled
NBCBluff City Law (NBCU)canceled
NBCBrooklyn Nine-Nine (NBCU)renewed
NBCChicago Fire (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCChicago Med (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCChicago P.D. (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCGood Girls (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCIndebted (Sony/NBCU)likely cancellation
NBCLaw & Order: SVU (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCLincoln Rhyme: Hunt for the Bone Collector (NBCU/Sony)likely cancellation
NBCManifest (WB)likely renewal
NBCNew Amsterdam (NBCU)renewed through '22-'23 season
NBCPerfect Harmony (Disney)canceled
NBCSunnyside (NBCU)canceled
NBCSuperstore (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCThe Blacklist (Sony)likely renewal
NBCThe Good Place (NBCU)canceled
NBCThis Is Us (Disney)renewed through '21-'22 season
NBCWill & Grace (NBCU)canceled
NBCZoey's Extraordinary Playlist (NBCU)likely cancellation

ABC shows predicted to be canceled

Stumptown  – lowest rated ABC show not already canceled

ABC shows predicted to be renewed

The Rookie, Mixed-ish  – borderline ratings, stay tuned
Station 19, The Good Doctor – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
The Conners, Black-ish, Bless This Mess,The Goldbergs, Schooled, Grey’s Anatomy, A Million Little Things, American Housewife, Single Parents  – ratings in the renewal range.

CBS shows predicted to be canceled

Tommy – low premier ratings
All Rise – while it received an order of 9 additional episodes, which is a positive indicator for renewal, it’s the lowest rated of CBS’s freshmen dramas, and being produced by Warner Brothers is a negative.

CBS shows predicted to be renewed

FBI: Most Wanted – good ratings, stay tuned.
The Unicorn, Carol’s Second Act – each received only 5 additional episodes ordered, which is a negative indicator for renewal, their spring ratings are borderline, at least one of these shows will likely be canceled, will make that call later
Bob Hearts Abishola – received an order of 9 additional episodes which is a positive indicator for renewal, ratings still fine
Bull – CBS 4th season drama cancellations are rare.
NCIS: New Orleans, NCIS: LA, Hawaii Five-0, Blue Bloods, NCIS – there is some danger for these very old CBS dramas, since their (non-public) syndication deals determine their longevity, although a renewal for a final season is a more likely end than cancellation this season.
SEAL Team, SWAT – shows like these two that are produced by the corporate studio and end season 3 with 66 or more episodes have not been canceled in 12 years.
The Neighborhood, FBI, Young Sheldon,  Magnum P.I., God Friended Me, MacGyver  – ratings in the renewal range.

CW shows predicted to be canceled

CW shows predicted to be renewed

Katy Keene – default prediction for any new CW show, but  spring premiere CW shows do have a chance of being canceled (except last season)

Fox shows predicted to be canceled

Deputy– ratings continue to fall. It’s not 100% dead, but that’s the way to predict.

Fox shows predicted to be renewed

Outmatched– Ratings still OK, but Fox has very limited slots for live action sitcoms, will be tricky. Stay tuned.
Prodigal Son– Ratings still OK. Stay tuned.
The Resident – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
9-1-1, Family Guy, Bob’s Burgers, Last Man Standing, 911: Lone Star – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues

NBC shows predicted to be canceled

Indebted – low premier ratings
Lincoln Rhyme: Hunt for the Bone Collector – low ratings
Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist – “preview” ratings were weak, the time slot premier on Feb 16 could reverse the prediction, or be the final nail in its coffin.

NBC shows predicted to be renewed

Manifest – good enough ratings, stay tuned.
The Blacklist – borderline ratings, stay tuned.
Good Girls – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
Law & Order: SVU – borderline ratings, but the show is unlikely to end without an announced final season
Superstore, Chicago Med, Chicago PD, Chicago Fire – ratings in the renewal range.

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Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.

The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 20-1

  • Right: Sunnyside, Bluff City Law, Bless The Harts, Evil, Almost Family, Emergence, Perfect Harmony, Black Lightning, Charmed, Legends of Tomorrow, Dynasty, In the Dark, Legacies, Riverdale, Roswell, NM, Supergirl, The Flash, Batwoman, Nancy Drew, New Amsterdam
  • Wrong: Fresh Off The Boat

Grey’s Anatomy, Mom, Young Sheldon,The Simpsons and This is Us were renewed for the 2020-21 season before the 2019-20 season began.

Modern Family, How To Get Away With Murder, Madam Secretary, Criminal Minds, Arrow, Supernatural, Empire, Blindspot, Will & Grace and The Good Place were canceled before the 2019-20 season began and will end in the 2019-20 season.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2020-21 season or cancellations by the end of the 2019-20 season.

See all the Reaper’s past weekly predictions here

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.