Predictions Week 17: Manifest Is Likely To Be Renewed

Posted by


Manifest is likely to be renewed. The season 2 premier ratings were good, and while it’s still early, it will take a steep ratings fall to put a sophomore show in danger.

Last week’s news:

As expected, the CW renewed every show that was on their air last Fall (except the already canceled Arrow & Supernatural). As yet unknown is which of those renewals are for a final season, expect 2-3.

And while renewal was expected, NBC renewed New Amsterdam for three more seasons, which was unexpected!

(sort the table by clicking on the column heading)

NetShow (Producer)Status
ABCA Million Little Things (Disney)likely renewal
ABCAmerican Housewife (Disney)likely renewal
ABCblack-ish (Disney)likely renewal
ABCBless This Mess (Disney)likely renewal
ABCEmergence (Disney)canceled
ABCFresh Off The Boat (Disney)canceled
ABCGrey's Anatomy (Disney)renewed
ABCHow To Get Away With Murder (Disney)canceled
ABCMixed-ish (Disney)likely renewal
ABCModern Family (Disney)canceled
ABCSingle Parents (Disney)likely renewal
ABCSchooled (Disney/Sony)likely renewal
ABCStation 19 (Disney)likely renewal
ABCStumptown (Disney)likely renewal
ABCThe Conners (Carsey-Werner)likely renewal
ABCThe Goldbergs (Sony)likely renewal
ABCThe Good Doctor (Disney/Sony)likely renewal
ABCThe Rookie (Disney/eOne)likely renewal
CBSAll Rise (WB)likely renewal
CBSBlue Bloods (CBS)likely renewal
CBSBob Hearts Abishola (WB)likely renewal
CBSBull (CBS)likely renewal
CBSCarol’s Second Act (CBS)likely renewal
CBSCriminal Minds (CBS/Disney)canceled
CBSEvil (CBS)renewed
CBSFBI (CBS/NBCU)likely renewal
CBSFBI: Most Wanted (CBS)likely renewal
CBSGod Friended Me (CBS/Sony)likely renewal
CBSHawaii Five-0 (CBS)likely renewal
CBSMadam Secretary (CBS)canceled
CBSMagnum, P.I. (CBS/NBCU)likely renewal
CBSMom (WB)renewed
CBSNCIS (CBS)likely renewal
CBSNCIS: Los Angeles (CBS)likely renewal
CBSNCIS: New Orleans (CBS)likely renewal
CBSSEAL Team (CBS)certain renewal
CBSSWAT (CBS/Sony)certain renewal
CBSThe Neighborhood (CBS)likely renewal
CBSThe Unicorn (CBS)likely renewal
CBSYoung Sheldon (WB)renewed
CWAll American (WB)renewed
CWArrow (WB)canceled
CWBatwoman (WB)renewed
CWBlack Lightning (WB)renewed
CWCharmed (CBS)renewed
CWDC's Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)renewed
CWDynasty (CBS)renewed
CWIn The Dark (CBS)renewed
CWLegacies (WB)renewed
CWNancy Drew (CBS)renewed
CWRiverdale (WB)renewed
CWRoswell, NM (WB)renewed
CWSupergirl (WB)renewed
CWSupernatural (WB)canceled
CWThe Flash (WB)renewed
Fox9-1-1 (Disney)likely renewal
FoxAlmost Family (Disney)canceled
FoxBless The Harts (Disney)renewed
FoxBob's Burgers (Disney)likely renewal
FoxDeputy (Disney)likely renewal
FoxEmpire (Disney)canceled
FoxFamily Guy (Disney)likely renewal
FoxLast Man Standing (Disney)likely renewal
FoxProdigal Son (WB)likely renewal
FoxThe Resident (Disney)likely renewal
FoxThe Simpsons (Disney)renewed
NBCBlindspot (WB)canceled
NBCBluff City Law (NBCU)canceled
NBCBrooklyn Nine-Nine (NBCU)renewed
NBCChicago Fire (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCChicago Med (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCChicago P.D. (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCGood Girls (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCLaw & Order: SVU (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCLincoln Rhyme: Hunt for the Bone Collector (NBCU/Sony)likely renewal
NBCManifest (WB)likely renewal
NBCNew Amsterdam (NBCU)renewed through '22-'23 season
NBCPerfect Harmony (Disney)canceled
NBCSunnyside (NBCU)canceled
NBCSuperstore (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCThe Blacklist (Sony)likely renewal
NBCThe Good Place (NBCU)canceled
NBCThis Is Us (Disney)renewed through '21-'22 season
NBCWill & Grace (NBCU)canceled
NBCZoey's Extraordinary Playlist (NBCU)likely cancellation

ABC shows predicted to be canceled

ABC shows predicted to be renewed

Stumptown, The Rookie  – borderline ratings, stay tuned
Station 19, The Good Doctor – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
The Conners, Black-ish, Bless This Mess,The Goldbergs, Schooled, Grey’s Anatomy, A Million Little Things, American Housewife, Single Parents, Mixed-ish  – ratings in the renewal range.

CBS shows predicted to be canceled

CBS shows predicted to be renewed

FBI: Most Wanted – good premier ratings, stay tuned.
The Unicorn, Carol’s Second Act – each received only 5 additional episodes ordered, which is a negative indicator for renewal, but their ratings are still in the range for renewal, stay tuned.
Bob Hearts Abishola, All Rise – both received orders of 9 additional episodes each which is a positive indicator for renewal
Bull – CBS 4th season drama cancellations are rare.
NCIS: New Orleans, NCIS: LA, Hawaii Five-0, Blue Bloods, NCIS – there is some danger for these very old CBS dramas, since their (non-public) syndication deals determine their longevity, although a renewal for a final season is a more likely end than cancellation this season.
SEAL Team, SWAT – shows like these two that are produced by the corporate studio and end season 3 with 66 or more episodes have not been canceled in 12 years.
The Neighborhood, FBI, Young Sheldon,  Magnum P.I., God Friended Me  – ratings in the renewal range.

CW shows predicted to be canceled

CW shows predicted to be renewed

Fox shows predicted to be canceled

Fox shows predicted to be renewed

Prodigal Son– Fall ratings were OK. Stay tuned.
Deputy– ratings still OK, but things can change quickly this early. Stay tuned.
The Resident – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
9-1-1, Family Guy, Bob’s Burgers, Last Man Standing – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues

NBC shows predicted to be canceled

Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist – “preview” ratings were weak, the time slot premier on Feb 16 could reverse the prediction, or be the final nail in its coffin.

NBC shows predicted to be renewed

Manifest – good premiere rating, stay tuned.
Lincoln Rhyme: Hunt for the Bone Collector – decent premiere rating, stay tuned.
The Blacklist – borderline ratings, stay tuned.
Good Girls – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
Law & Order: SVU – borderline ratings, but the show is unlikely to end without an announced final season
Superstore, Chicago Med, Chicago PD, Chicago Fire – ratings in the renewal range.

Follow TV Grim Reaper on Twitter, Email or RSS.

Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.

The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 20-1

  • Right: Sunnyside, Bluff City Law, Bless The Harts, Evil, Almost Family, Emergence, Perfect Harmony, Black Lightning, Charmed, Legends of Tomorrow, Dynasty, In the Dark, Legacies, Riverdale, Roswell, NM, Supergirl, The Flash, Batwoman, Nancy Drew, New Amsterdam
  • Wrong: Fresh Off The Boat

Grey’s Anatomy, Mom, Young Sheldon,The Simpsons and This is Us were renewed for the 2020-21 season before the 2019-20 season began.

Modern Family, How To Get Away With Murder, Madam Secretary, Criminal Minds, Arrow, Supernatural, Empire, Blindspot, Will & Grace and The Good Place were canceled before the 2019-20 season began and will end in the 2019-20 season.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2020-21 season or cancellations by the end of the 2019-20 season.

See all the Reaper’s past weekly predictions here

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.