Predictions Week 6: Emergence Is Likely To Be Canceled

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TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2020-21 season or cancellations by the end of the 2019-20 season.

See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

Emergence Is Likely To Be Canceled

Emergence is likely to be canceled. It’s ABC’s lowest rated rookie show, and lowest rated non-Friday show overall. Enjoy the episodes that remain.

Last week’s news recap:

Almost Family will not be getting more episodes ordered, and became the third show canceled of the season. Evil was renewed for season 2.

(sort the table by clicking on the column heading)

NetShow (Producer)Status
ABCA Million Little Things (Disney)likely renewal
ABCAmerican Housewife (Disney)likely renewal
ABCblack-ish (Disney)likely renewal
ABCBless This Mess (Disney)likely renewal
ABCEmergence (Disney)likely cancellation
ABCFresh Off The Boat (Disney)likely renewal
ABCGrey's Anatomy (Disney)renewed
ABCHow To Get Away With Murder (Disney)canceled
ABCMixed-ish (Disney)likely renewal
ABCModern Family (Disney)canceled
ABCSingle Parents (Disney)likely renewal
ABCSchooled (Disney/Sony)likely renewal
ABCStation 19 (Disney)likely renewal
ABCStumptown (Disney)likely renewal
ABCThe Conners (Carsey-Werner)likely renewal
ABCThe Goldbergs (Sony)likely renewal
ABCThe Good Doctor (Disney/Sony)likely renewal
ABCThe Rookie (Disney/eOne)likely renewal
CBSAll Rise (WB)likely renewal
CBSBlue Bloods (CBS)likely renewal
CBSBob Hearts Abishola (WB)likely renewal
CBSBull (CBS)likely renewal
CBSCarol’s Second Act (CBS)likely cancellation
CBSCriminal Minds (CBS/Disney)canceled
CBSEvil (CBS)renewed
CBSFBI (CBS/NBCU)likely renewal
CBSGod Friended Me (CBS/Sony)likely renewal
CBSHawaii Five-0 (CBS)likely renewal
CBSMadam Secretary (CBS)canceled
CBSMagnum, P.I. (CBS/NBCU)likely renewal
CBSMom (WB)renewed
CBSNCIS (CBS)likely renewal
CBSNCIS: Los Angeles (CBS)likely renewal
CBSNCIS: New Orleans (CBS)likely renewal
CBSSEAL Team (CBS)certain renewal
CBSSWAT (CBS/Sony)certain renewal
CBSThe Neighborhood (CBS)likely renewal
CBSThe Unicorn (CBS)likely cancellation
CBSYoung Sheldon (WB)renewed
CWAll American (WB)certain renewal
CWArrow (WB)canceled
CWBatwoman (WB)likely renewal
CWBlack Lightning (WB)certain renewal
CWCharmed (CBS)certain renewal
CWDC's Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)certain renewal
CWDynasty (CBS)certain renewal
CWIn The Dark (CBS)certain renewal
CWLegacies (WB)certain renewal
CWNancy Drew (CBS)likely renewal
CWRiverdale (WB)certain renewal
CWRoswell, NM (WB)certain renewal
CWSupergirl (WB)certain renewal
CWSupernatural (WB)canceled
CWThe Flash (WB)certain renewal
Fox9-1-1 (Disney)likely renewal
FoxAlmost Family (Disney)canceled
FoxBless The Harts (Disney)renewed
FoxBob's Burgers (Disney)likely renewal
FoxEmpire (Disney)canceled
FoxFamily Guy (Disney)likely renewal
FoxProdigal Son (WB)likely renewal
FoxThe Resident (Disney)likely renewal
FoxThe Simpsons (Disney)renewed
NBCBlindspot (WB)canceled
NBCBluff City Law (NBCU)canceled
NBCChicago Fire (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCChicago Med (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCChicago P.D. (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCGood Girls (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCLaw & Order: SVU (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCNew Amsterdam (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCPerfect Harmony (Disney)likely cancellation
NBCSunnyside (NBCU)canceled
NBCSuperstore (NBCU)likely renewal
NBCThe Blacklist (Sony)likely renewal
NBCThe Good Place (NBCU)canceled
NBCThis Is Us (Disney)renewed through '21-'22 season
NBCWill & Grace (NBCU)canceled

ABC shows predicted to be canceled

Emergence– ABC’s lowest rated rookie show

ABC shows predicted to be renewed

Stumptown, Mixed-ish, Fresh Off The Boat  – borderline ratings, stay tuned
Station 19, The Good Doctor – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
The Conners, Black-ish, Bless This Mess,The Goldbergs, Schooled, Grey’s Anatomy, A Million Little Things, American Housewife, The Rookie, Single Parents  – ratings in the renewal range.

CBS shows predicted to be canceled

The Unicorn, Carol’s Second Act – received only 5 additional episodes ordered, which is a negative indicator for renewal.

CBS shows predicted to be renewed

Bob Hearts Abishola, All Rise – borderline ratings, but did receive orders of 9 additional episodes each, stay tuned
Bull – borderline ratings, but CBS 4th season drama cancellations are rare.
NCIS: New Orleans, NCIS: LA – borderline ratings, there is some danger for low rated CBS dramas of this age.
SEAL Team, SWAT – shows like these two that are produced by the corporate studio and end season 3 with 66 or more episodes have not been canceled in 12 years.
The Neighborhood, NCIS, FBI, Young Sheldon, Mom, Hawaii Five-0, Magnum P.I., Blue Bloods, God Friended Me  – ratings in the renewal range.

CW shows predicted to be canceled

CW shows predicted to be renewed

Batwoman, Nancy Drew– ratings nearly irrelevant for CW shows, what will matter for this year’s rookies?
Black Lightning, Charmed, Legends of Tomorrow, Dynasty, In the Dark, Legacies, Riverdale, Roswell, NM, Supergirl, The Flash – The CW hasn’t canceled a non-rookie show without announcing a final season at the same time (aka, “renanceling”) since Hart Of Dixie in May, 2015.

Fox shows predicted to be canceled

Fox shows predicted to be renewed

Prodigal Son– borderline ratings. Stay tuned.
The Resident – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
9-1-1, Family Guy, Bob’s Burgers – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues

NBC shows predicted to be canceled

Perfect Harmony – low ratings.

NBC shows predicted to be renewed

The Blacklist – borderline ratings, stay tuned.
Good Girls – third season shows are rarely canceled, no matter the ratings.
Law & Order: SVU – borderline ratings, but the show is unlikely to end without an announced final season
Superstore, New Amsterdam, Chicago Med, Chicago PD, Chicago Fire – ratings in the renewal range.

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Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.

The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 5-0

  • Right: Sunnyside, Bluff City Law, Bless The Harts, Evil, Almost Family
  • Wrong:

Grey’s Anatomy, Mom, Young Sheldon,The Simpsons and This is Us were renewed for the 2020-21 season before the 2019-20 season began.

Modern Family, How To Get Away With Murder, Madam Secretary, Criminal Minds, Arrow, Supernatural, Empire, Blindspot, Will & Grace and The Good Place were canceled before the 2019-20 season began and will end in the 2019-20 season.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.