Predictions Week 19: The Conners Is Likely To Be Renewed

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NetShow (Producer)Status
ABCAgents of S.H.I.E.L.D. (ABC)renewed
ABCA Million Little Things (ABC)likely renewed
ABCAmerican Housewife (ABC)certain to be renewed*
ABCblack-ish (ABC)likely renewed
ABCFresh Off The Boat (Fox)likely renewed
ABCGrey's Anatomy (ABC)likely renewed
ABCHow To Get Away With Murder (ABC)likely renewed
ABCModern Family (Fox)likely renewed
ABCSingle Parents (ABC/Fox)likely renewed
ABCSchooled (ABC/Sony)likely renewed
ABCSpeechless (ABC/Fox)likely renewed
ABCSplitting Up Together (WB)likely renewed
ABCStation 19 (ABC)likely renewed
ABCThe Conners (Carsey-Werner)likely renewed
ABCThe Goldbergs (Sony)likely renewed
ABCThe Good Doctor (ABC/Sony)likely renewed
ABCThe Kids Are Alright (ABC)likely renewed
ABCThe Rookie (ABC/eOne)likely renewed
CBSBlue Bloods (CBS)likely renewed
CBSBull (CBS)likely renewed
CBSCriminal Minds (CBS/ABC)renewed
CBSElementary (CBS)canceled
CBSFam (CBS)likely renewed
CBSGod Friended Me (CBS/Sony)likely renewed
CBSHappy Together (CBS)canceled
CBSHawaii Five-0 (CBS)likely renewed
CBSMacGyver (CBS)certain to be renewed*
CBSMadam Secretary (CBS)likely renewed
CBSMagnum, P.I. (CBS/NBCU)renewed
CBSMom (WB)likely renewed
CBSMurphy Brown (WB)likely canceled
CBSNCIS (CBS)likely renewed
CBSNCIS: Los Angeles (CBS)likely renewed
CBSNCIS: New Orleans (CBS)likely renewed
CBSSEAL Team (CBS)likely renewed
CBSSWAT (CBS/Sony)likely renewed
CBSThe Big Bang Theory (WB)canceled
CBSThe Neighborhood (CBS)renewed
CBSYoung Sheldon (WB)likely renewed
CWAll American (WB)likely renewed
CWArrow (WB)likely renewed
CWBlack Lightning (WB)likely renewed
CWCharmed (CBS)likely renewed
CWCrazy Ex-Girlfriend (CBS)canceled
CWDC's Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)likely renewed
CWDynasty (CBS)likely renewed
CWiZombie (WB)canceled
CWJane The Virgin (CBS)canceled
CWLegacies (WB)likely renewed
CWRiverdale (WB)likely renewed
CWRoswell, NM (WB)likely renewed
CWSupergirl (WB)likely renewed
CWSupernatural (WB)likely renewed
CWThe Flash (WB)likely renewed
Fox9-1-1 (Fox)likely renewed
FoxBob's Burgers (Fox)likely renewed
FoxEmpire (Fox)likely renewed
FoxFamily Guy (Fox)likely renewed
FoxGotham (WB)canceled
FoxLast Man Standing (Fox)likely renewed
FoxLethal Weapon (WB)likely canceled
FoxRel (Fox)canceled
FoxStar (Fox)likely renewed
FoxThe Cool Kids (Fox)likely renewed
FoxThe Gifted (Fox)likely canceled
FoxThe Orville (Fox)likely renewed
FoxThe Passage (Fox)likely renewed
FoxThe Resident (Fox)likely renewed
FoxThe Simpsons (Fox)likely renewed
NBCBlindspot (WB)likely canceled
NBCBrooklyn Nine-Nine (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCChicago Fire (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCChicago Med (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCChicago P.D. (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCI Feel Bad (NBCU)canceled
NBCLaw & Order: SVU (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCManifest (WB)likely renewed
NBCMidnight, Texas (NBCU)canceled
NBCNew Amsterdam (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCSuperstore (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCThe Blacklist (Sony)likely renewed
NBCThe Good Place (NBCU)renewed
NBCThis Is Us (Fox)likely renewed
NBCWill & Grace (NBCU)renewed

The Conners Is Likely To Be Renewed

The Conners is likely to be renewed. Of course it is, it’s ABC’s second highest rated show, and their highest rated sitcom. The crazy anti-fans in their online echo chamber who’re still convinced its getting canceled are going to be disappointed.

FBI, Magnum, PI and The Neighborhood were all renewed last week.

Expect some renewal announcements over the next 9 days as the network executives waste time with irrelevant TV critics during the Winter TCA meetings on these dates: Jan 29: NBC, Jan 30: CBS, Jan 31: The CW, Feb 5: ABC, Feb 6: Fox.

ABC shows predicted to be canceled

None, yet.

ABC shows predicted to be renewed

Splitting Up Together – tied for lowest rated of ABC non-Friday shows, its sophomore status has paused the likely canceled prediction, for now
The Rookie– lowest rated of the rookie dramas, stay tuned
Single Parents– lowest rated of the rookie sitcoms, stay tuned
Fresh Off The Boat – borderline ratings, but Disney/ABC will become the producer once the deal for Fox Studios closes.
Speechless – terrible ratings, but 3rd season shows are rarely canceled, and Disney/ABC is about to become the sole producer
Modern Family – conventional wisdom was that the show would end this season, but with Disney buying Fox Studios, they’re trying to strike a renewal deal, and when there’s a will, the reaper assumes (sometimes incorrectly!) there’s a way.
American Housewife, black-ish, Grey’s Anatomy, How To Get Away With Murder, The Good Doctor, Station 19, The Kids Are Alright, The Conners, The Goldbergs, Schooled, A Million Little Things – ratings currently in the renewal range, no negative issues.

CBS shows predicted to be canceled

Murphy Brown – same ratings as already canceled Happy Together

CBS shows predicted to be renewed

Fam – fine early ratings, many things can change this early in a run though, stay tuned.
Madam Secretary – terrible ratings, its syndication deal keeps it alive until it suddenly does not, but CBS hasn’t canceled a 5th season drama they produce in recent memory.
God Friended Me – in far better ratings shape than Wisdom of the Crowd last season
Bull – allegations against actor/EP Michael Weatherly threaten renewal of the show, but given history and the amount of money at stake for CBS, the show is still likely to be renewed.
NCIS, Mom, Young Sheldon, MacGyver, SEAL Team,Blue Bloods, Hawaii Five-0, NCIS:LA, NCIS:NO, SWAT – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues.

CW shows predicted to be canceled

None, yet. The CW canceled 3 shows before the season began (Jane The Virgin, Crazy Ex-Girlfriend, iZombie).

CW shows predicted to be renewed

All American – renewing all three WB rookies would be unusual, but not inconceivable, of the three, All American is most at risk.
Dynasty – terrible ratings, but a Netflix deal + the need to renew at least two CBS produced shows likely get it renewed.
Charmed – also a CBS production, likely fills the second traditional CBS Studios renewal.
Arrow, Legends Of Tomorrow, Riverdale, Supergirl, Supernatural, The Flash, Black Lightning, Legacies, Roswell, NM – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues

Fox shows predicted to be canceled

The Gifted, Lethal Weapon – low ratings, short episode orders. Both of LW’s original stars are off the show.

Fox shows predicted to be renewed

The Orville – Thursday ratings have been bad, but the reaper’s got time to go negative on a sophomore show.
The Passage, The Resident – Could the loss of Friday for scripted shows (to WWE) cause Fox to cancel an average rated show? It could.
Bob’s Burgers, Family Guy, Empire, Star, The Cool Kids, Last Man Standing, 9-1-1, The Simpsons – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues

NBC shows predicted to be canceled

Blindspot – low ratings, owned by WB

NBC shows predicted to be renewed

The Blacklist – borderline Friday premiere rating, but plenty of time in the coming weeks to reassess.
Chicago Fire, Chicago Med, Chicago PD, SVU, Superstore, New Amsterdam, Manifest, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, This is Us – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2019-20 season or cancellations by the end of the 2018-19 season.

See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

*Why are those shows certain to be renewed?

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Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.

The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 8-1

  • Right: I Feel Bad, Happy Together, Rel, The Good Place, Midnight Texas, FBI, MagnumPI, The Neighborhood
  • Wrong: Criminal Minds

Will & Grace was renewed before the season began. Jane The Virgin, Crazy Ex-Girlfriend, iZombie, Gotham and The Big Bang Theory were canceled before the season began.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his previous years prediction record here.