Predictions Week 28: Deception Is Likely To Be Canceled

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Deception is likely to be canceled.

Deception is likely to be canceled. The third episode fell to a 0.7 rating. ABC rookie shows do not survive with that rating, particularly those owned by Warner Brothers.
4/2 Edit: Two hours after this was posted the CW renewed 10 shows. The post has been edited with that new information.

See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

Canceled/likely canceled = not returning/predicted not to return in 2018-19 season
Renewed/likely renewed = returning/predicted to return in 2018-19 season

Sort table by clicking on the column heading.

NetShow (Producer)Status
ABCAgents of S.H.I.E.L.D. (ABC)likely canceled
ABCAlex Inc (Sony)likely renewed
ABCAmerican Housewife (ABC)likely renewed
ABCblack-ish (ABC)likely renewed
ABCDeception (WB)likely canceled
ABCDesignated Survivor (ABC)likely renewed
ABCFresh Off The Boat (Fox)likely renewed
ABCFor The People (ABC)likely canceled
ABCGrey's Anatomy (ABC)likely renewed
ABCHow To Get Away With Murder (ABC)likely renewed
ABCKevin (Probably) Saves The World (ABC)likely canceled
ABCMarvel’s Inhumans (ABC)likely canceled
ABCModern Family (Fox)renewed
ABCQuantico (ABC)summer
ABCOnce Upon A Time (ABC)canceled
ABCRoseanne (ABC)renewed
ABCScandal (ABC)canceled
ABCSpeechless (ABC/Fox)likely renewed
ABCSplitting Up Together (WB)likely renewed
ABCStation 19 (ABC)likely renewed
ABCTen Days In The Valley (Skydance)canceled
ABCThe Goldbergs (Sony)renewed
ABCThe Good Doctor (ABC/Sony)renewed
ABCThe Mayor (ABC)canceled
ABCThe Middle (WB)canceled
CBS9JKL (CBS)likely canceled
CBSBlue Bloods (CBS)likely renewed
CBSBull (CBS)likely renewed
CBSCode Black (CBS/ABC)summer
CBSCriminal Minds (CBS/ABC)likely renewed
CBSElementary (CBS)summer
CBSHawaii Five-0 (CBS)likely renewed
CBSInstinct (CBS)likely renewed
CBSKevin Can Wait (CBS/Sony)likely renewed
CBSLife in Pieces (Fox)likely renewed
CBSLiving Biblically (WB)likely canceled
CBSMacGyver (CBS)likely renewed
CBSMadam Secretary (CBS)likely renewed
CBSMan With A Plan (CBS)likely renewed
CBSMe, Myself & I (CBS/WB)canceled
CBSMom (WB)likely renewed
CBSNCIS (CBS)likely renewed
CBSNCIS: Los Angeles (CBS)likely renewed
CBSNCIS: New Orleans (CBS)likely renewed
CBSScorpion (CBS)likely renewed
CBSSEAL Team (CBS)renewed
CBSSuperior Donuts (CBS)likely renewed
CBSSWAT (CBS/Sony)renewed
CBSThe Big Bang Theory (WB)renewed
CBSWisdom Of The Crowd (CBS/NBCU)canceled
CBSYoung Sheldon (WB)renewed
CWArrow (WB)renewed
CWBlack Lightning (WB)renewed
CWCrazy Ex-Girlfriend (CBS/WB)renewed
CWDC's Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)renewed
CWDynasty (CBS)renewed
CWiZombie (WB)likely renewed
CWJane The Virgin (CBS/WB)renewed
CWLife Sentence (WB)canceled
CWRiverdale (WB)renewed
CWSupergirl (WB)renewed
CWSupernatural (WB)renewed
CWThe 100 (WB)summer
CWThe Flash (WB)renewed
CWThe Originals (WB)canceled
CWValor (CBS/WB)canceled
Fox9-1-1 (Fox)renewed
FoxBob's Burgers (Fox)likely renewed
FoxBrooklyn Nine-Nine (NBCU)likely canceled
FoxEmpire (Fox)likely renewed
FoxFamily Guy (Fox)likely renewed
FoxGhosted (Fox)likely canceled
FoxGotham (WB)likely renewed
FoxLA to Vegas (Fox)likely renewed
FoxLethal Weapon (WB)likely renewed
FoxLucifer (WB)likely renewed
FoxNew Girl (Fox)canceled
FoxStar (Fox)likely renewed
FoxThe Exorcist (Fox)likely canceled
FoxThe Gifted (Fox)renewed
FoxThe Last Man On Earth (Fox)likely canceled
FoxThe Mick (Fox)likely renewed
FoxThe Orville (Fox)renewed
FoxThe Resident (Fox)likely renewed
FoxThe Simpsons (Fox)renewed
FoxThe X-Files (Fox)likely canceled
NBCA.P. Bio (NBCU)likely canceled
NBCBlindspot (WB)likely renewed
NBCChampions (NBCU)likely canceled
NBCChicago Fire (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCChicago Med (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCChicago P.D. (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCGood Girls (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCGreat News (NBCU)likely canceled
NBCLaw & Order: SVU (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCLaw & Order: True Crime (NBCU)likely canceled
NBCRise (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCShades Of Blue (NBCU)likely renewed
NBCSuperstore (NBCU)renewed
NBCTaken (NBCU)likely canceled
NBCThe Blacklist (Sony)likely renewed
NBCThe Brave (NBCU)canceled
NBCThe Good Place (NBCU)renewed
NBCThis Is Us (Fox)renewed
NBCTimeless (Sony)likely canceled
NBCWill & Grace (NBCU)renewed

ABC shows predicted to be canceled

For The People – low ratings, rookie show
Kevin (Probably) Saves The World – low ratings, only 3 additional episodes ordered
Inhumans – low ratings, rookie show
Agents of SHIELD – low ratings, old/expensive
Deception – low ratings, rookie show, owned by Warner Brothers.

ABC shows predicted to be renewed

Alex Inc – premiere ratings OK, stay tuned.
Designated Survivor – borderline ratings that are probably good enough at 10pm
American Housewife, black-ish, Fresh Off The Boat, Grey’s Anatomy, How To Get Away With Murder, Speechless, Station 19, Splitting Up Together – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues

CBS shows predicted to be canceled

9JKL – low ratings, only three additional episodes ordered
Living Biblically – lowest rated CBS rookie premiere, owned by Warner Brothers

CBS shows predicted to be renewed

Instinct – premiere ratings OK. Stay tuned.
Criminal Minds – ratings still fine, old/expensive, owned by ABC, likely the first veteran drama to be canceled
Blue Bloods, Hawaii Five-0, NCIS:LA – ratings still fine, old/expensive, if more than one veteran drama gets canceled, it will be one of these
Madam Secretary, NCIS:NO, Scorpion – CBS hasn’t canceled a CBS Studios drama after its 3rd, 4th, 5th or 6th season in recent memory
NCIS, Kevin Can Wait, Life In Pieces, Man With A Plan, Mom, Bull, MacGyver, Superior Donuts– ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues

CW shows predicted to be canceled

CW shows predicted to be renewed

iZombie – CW has canceled only one non-rookie show with fewer than 70 episodes in the Pedowitz era (The Carrie Diaries)

Fox shows predicted to be canceled

The Exorcist – ultra-low ratings
Ghosted – borderline ratings, Spring return date indefinitely postponed.
Brooklyn Nine-Nine – low ratings, old/expensive, owned by NBCU
The X-Files Gillian Anderson is done, and the show won’t return without her.
Last Man On Earth – lowest rated of the Sunday comedies, guessing Fox gives similarly rated LA to Vegas and The Mick the renewals instead.

Fox shows predicted to be renewed

Gotham, The Mick – borderline ratings, listed from most to least at risk
Bob’s Burgers, Family Guy, Empire, Lethal Weapon, Star, LA to Vegas, The Resident – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues

NBC shows predicted to be canceled

Law & Order: True Crime – low ratings, rookie show
Great News – lowest rated NBC sitcom, episodes being burned off in December, only 13 episodes ordered, with no additional back order
Taken – lowest rated show on NBC
A.P. Bio – low ratings, rookie show
Champions – lowest rated NBC rookie premiere this season, rookie show
Timeless – low ratings that keep falling, Sony’s big check to NBC saved it last year, guessing that doesn’t happen twice.

NBC shows predicted to be renewed

Rise, Good Girls – such promise, such promotion, such borderline ratings.
Blindspot – third season shows produced by third party studios (WB) are almost never canceled.
Shades of Blue – third season shows owned by the network’s studio are almost certain to be renewed no matter how many episodes they have produced
Chicago Fire, Chicago Med, Chicago PD, SVU, The Blacklist – ratings in the renewal range, no negative issues

Summer shows

The 100, Elementary, Code Black, Quantico – Shows that have gone from the regular broadcast season to airing most of their episodes in the summer have never subsequently moved back into the regular broadcast season, and the reaper’s predictions are only for the broadcast season.

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Do you miss the ratings information from older prediction posts? You can still view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.

The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 27-0

  • Right: Ten Days In The Valley, Me Myself & I, The Orville, Valor, The Brave, The Good Place, Wisdom Of The Crowd, The Mayor, The Gifted, Young Sheldon, 9-1-1, Once Upon A Time, Superstore, The Good Doctor, SWAT, SEAL Team, Life Sentence, Dynasty, Jane The Virgin, Crazy Ex-Girlfriend, Arrow, Legends of Tomorrow, Riverdale, Supergirl, Supernatural, The Flash, Black Lightning
  • Wrong:

Modern Family, The Goldbergs, The Simpsons, Will & Grace, This Is Us, and The Big Bang Theory were renewed before the season began. Roseanne was renewed in less than a week, before the reaper’s next prediction post.

Scandal, The Originals, The Middle and New Girl were canceled before the season began.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.