Predictions Week 3: Madam Secretary, NCIS: New Orleans & Scorpion Are Likely To Be Renewed

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TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2018-19 season or cancellations by the end of the 2017-18 season.

See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

Program% Renewal Chance
Ten Days In The Valley (Skydance)5%
Kevin (Probably) Saves The World (ABC)55%
Marvel’s Inhumans (ABC)55%
Once Upon A Time (ABC)55%
The Mayor (ABC)60%
How To Get Away With Murder  (ABC)65%
Designated Survivor (ABC)70%
Speechless (ABC/Fox)80%
Fresh Off The Boat (Fox)90%
Grey’s Anatomy  (ABC)90%
black-ish (ABC)95%
American Housewife (ABC)99%
The Good Doctor (ABC/Sony)99%
Scandal (ABC)canceled
The Middle (WB)canceled
Modern Family (Fox)renewed
The Goldbergs (Sony)renewed
Me, Myself & I (CBS/WB)55%
Wisdom Of The Crowd (CBS/NBCU)60%
Criminal Minds (CBS/ABC)65%
Hawaii Five-0 (CBS)65%
MacGyver (CBS)65%
NCIS: Los Angeles (CBS) 65%
SEAL Team (CBS)65%
9JKL (CBS)75%
Blue Bloods  (CBS)75%
Code Black (CBS/ABC)75%
Kevin Can Wait (CBS/Sony)90%
Madam Secretary (CBS)90%
NCIS: New Orleans (CBS)90%
Scorpion (CBS)90%
Young Sheldon (WB)90%
Life in Pieces (Fox)95%
Bull (CBS)99%
The Big Bang Theory (WB)renewed
Valor (CBS/WB)55%
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend  (CBS/WB)75%
DC’s Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)75%
Supergirl (WB)100%
The Originals (WB)canceled
Brooklyn Nine-Nine (NBCU)55%
The Exorcist (Fox)55%
Gotham (WB)65%
The Last Man On Earth (Fox)65%
The Mick (Fox)70%
Bob’s Burgers (Fox)75%
Ghosted (Fox)75%
The Orville (Fox)80%
Lucifer (WB)85%
The Gifted (Fox)90%
Star (Fox)95%
Lethal Weapon (WB)95%
Empire (Fox)99%
Family Guy (Fox)99%
New Girl (Fox)canceled
The Simpsons (Fox)renewed
Great News (NBCU)60%
The Blacklist (Sony)60%
Law & Order: True Crime (NBCU)65%
The Brave (NBCU)75%
Shades Of Blue (NBCU)75%
The Good Place (NBCU)80%
Superstore (NBCU)85%
Chicago Fire (NBCU)90%
Chicago P.D. (NBCU)90%
Law & Order: SVU (NBCU)90%
Blindspot (WB)95%
Chicago Med (NBCU)100%
This Is Us (Fox)renewed
Will & Grace (NBCU)renewed

Madam Secretary, NCIS: New Orleans and Scorpion are highly likely to be renewed. All three are produced by CBS Studios and are in their fourth seasons.

There’s been a lot of chatter about the current low ratings for the three shows. The chatter, and the ratings, are irrelevant to their near term future.

Since 2011, CBS hasn’t canceled a single show at the end of its fourth season. In fact, CBS has canceled only one show at the end of its fifth season, Person of Interest (which was produced by Warner Brothers).

Given that those 3 shows are likely to be around 2-3 more seasons, CBS will need to clear some space in its old drama warehouse nights of Sunday & Friday for them. Stay tuned.

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New this season: Since in-house productions received far more than the typical historical advantage in Spring 2017 renewal decisions, the production company(ies) have been added after each show’s name in the table above for reference.

Where did the emojis go? Why did the prediction table change? Explained in the Week 24 post last season.

Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.

The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 

  • Right: 
  • Wrong:

Modern Family, The Goldbergs, The Simpsons, Will & Grace, This Is Us, and The Big Bang Theory were renewed before the season began. Scandal, The Originals, The Middle and New Girl were canceled before the season began.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.