See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.
TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2017-18 season or cancellations by the end of the 2016-17 season.
| ABC | |
| Program | % Renewal Chance |
| Secrets And Lies | 5% |
| The Real O’Neals | 15% |
| Quantico | 20% |
| Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. | 25% |
| American Crime | 45% |
| Imaginary Mary | 45% |
| The Catch | 55% |
| Once Upon A Time | 60% |
| Dr. Ken | 80% |
| Fresh Off The Boat | 90% |
| Designated Survivor | 90% |
| Last Man Standing | 90% |
| American Housewife | 99% |
| Speechless | 99% |
| The Goldbergs | 99% |
| Modern Family | 99% |
| black-ish | 100% |
| Conviction | canceled |
| Time After Time | canceled |
| Notorious | canceled |
| How To Get Away With Murder | renewed |
| Scandal | renewed |
| The Middle | renewed |
| Grey’s Anatomy | renewed |
| CBS | |
| Program | % Renewal Chance |
| Ransom | 5% |
| Elementary | 10% |
| The Odd Couple | 25% |
| 2 Broke Girls | 45% |
| Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders | 55% |
| Code Black | 55% |
| The Great Indoors | 55% |
| Criminal Minds | |
| Doubt | canceled |
| Training Day | canceled |
| Pure Genius | canceled |
| Madam Secretary | renewed |
| MacGyver | renewed |
| NCIS: New Orleans | renewed |
| Hawaii Five-0 | renewed |
| Blue Bloods | renewed |
| Scorpion | renewed |
| Superior Donuts | renewed |
| NCIS: Los Angeles | renewed |
| Life in Pieces | renewed |
| Man With A Plan | renewed |
| Bull | renewed |
| Kevin Can Wait | renewed |
| Mom | renewed |
| NCIS | renewed |
| The Big Bang Theory | renewed |
| CW | |
| Program | % Renewal Chance |
| No Tomorrow | 5% |
| Frequency | 5% |
| The Originals | 45% |
| iZombie | 65% |
| Reign | canceled |
| The Vampire Diaries | canceled |
| Crazy Ex-Girlfriend | renewed |
| Jane The Virgin | renewed |
| The 100 | renewed |
| Riverdale | renewed |
| Arrow | renewed |
| DC’s Legends Of Tomorrow | renewed |
| Supernatural | renewed |
| Supergirl | renewed |
| The Flash | renewed |
| Fox | |
| Program | % Renewal Chance |
| Scream Queens | 5% |
| Sleepy Hollow | 10% |
| Making History | 10% |
| The Exorcist | 15% |
| Pitch | 15% |
| APB | 20% |
| Rosewood | 25% |
| Son of Zorn | 35% |
| New Girl | 45% |
| Shots Fired | 45% |
| 24: Legacy | 55% |
| The Last Man On Earth | 75% |
| Prison Break | 75% |
| Gotham | 95% |
| Brooklyn Nine-Nine | 95% |
| Family Guy | 99% |
| Bones | canceled |
| Bob’s Burgers | renewed |
| The Mick | renewed |
| Lucifer | renewed |
| Star | renewed |
| Lethal Weapon | renewed |
| The Simpsons | renewed |
| Empire | renewed |
| NBC | |
| Program | % Renewal Chance |
| Powerless | 5% |
| Emerald City | 10% |
| Timeless | 20% |
| Taken | 20% |
| The Blacklist: Redemption | 30% |
| Trial And Error | 40% |
| Blindspot | 60% |
| The Blacklist | 75% |
| Chicago Justice | 75% |
| Chicago Med | 99% |
| Law & Order: SVU | 99% |
| Chicago P.D. | 99% |
| Chicago Fire | 99% |
| Grimm | canceled |
| Shades Of Blue | renewed |
| The Good Place | renewed |
| Superstore | renewed |
| This Is Us | renewed |
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iZombie is likely to be renewed.
At the end of this season, its third, iZombie will have produced 45 episodes.
Recent history has demonstrated that the CW likes to cancels its lowest rated shows (that survive their rookie seasons) after they’ve reached 70-80 episodes produced.
- Reign 4 seasons, 78 episodes
- Beauty & The Beast 4 seasons, 70 episodes
- Hart Of Dixie 4 seasons, 76 episodes
- Nikita 4 seasons, 73 episodes
The reaper’s starting his renewal prediction for iZombie at 65% on the assumption another 25-35 episodes will be ordered, to end it in the 70-80 episode range, more than likely after 2 more seasons.
Why just a 65% chance of renewal? Compared to most of the history that the reaper bases his predictions on, the trend of low rated CW show renewals in recent seasons is a pretty small data set, and doesn’t inspire the same level of confidence that the history of s3 shows with 66 episodes getting an automatic s4 renewal does.
Where did the emojis go? Why did the prediction table change? Explained in the Week 24 post here.
Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.
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The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 43-0-2
- Right: Notorious, The Simpsons, Conviction, Pure Genius, Jane The Virgin, Supernatural, Legends of Tomorrow, Arrow, Supergirl, The Flash, Empire, This Is Us, The Middle, The Good Place, Scandal, Greys Anatomy, How To Get Away With Murder, Lucifer, Superstore, Star, Lethal Weapon, The Mick, Doubt, The 100, Training Day, Shades Of Blue, Big Bang Theory, Superior Donuts, Life In Pieces, MacGyver, Hawaii Five-0, Blue Bloods, NCIS:LA, NCIS:NO, Man With A Plan, Kevin Can Wait, Bull, Mom, Madam Secretary, Scorpion, Time After Time, Criminal Minds
- Wrong:
- Draw (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Crazy Ex-Girlfriend, Riverdale
Reign, canceled before the reaper had a prediction for it, is not included in the tally above.
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How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.
Also published on Medium.