Predictions Week 23: #Doubt Is Likely To Be Canceled

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See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2017-18 season or cancellations by the end of the 2016-17 season. (The table below includes ratings from Jan 2, 2017 – Feb 17, 2017)

ABC

ABC 18-49 avg: 1.37

ProgramStatus

% ABC avg, 18-49 Avg

Convictioncanceled
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.😥 😥

48%, 0.65

Quantico😥 😥

51%, 0.70

The Real O’Neals😥 😥

64%, 0.88

Dr. Ken  (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

70%, 0.95

Fresh Off The Boat🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

88%, 1.20

Last Man Standing  (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

94%, 1.28

How To Get Away With Murder renewed

100%, 1.37

American Housewife🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

111%, 1.52

black-ish:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

114%, 1.56

The Middlerenewed

120%, 1.64

Speechless🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

122%, 1.66

Scandalrenewed

126%, 1.73

The Goldbergs🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

137%, 1.88

Modern Family🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

165%, 2.25

Grey’s Anatomy renewed

167%, 2.28

Secrets And Lies😥 😥
Notoriouscanceled
Once Upon A Time🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Designated Survivor🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
CBS

CBS 18-49 avg: 1.30

ProgramStatus

% CBS avg, 18-49 Avg

Ransom😥 😥

31%, 0.40

Elementary😥 😥

49%, 0.63

Pure Geniuscanceled
Doubt😥 😥

62%, 0.80

Training Day😥 😥

62%, 0.80

Madam Secretary:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

64%, 0.83

Code Black 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
The Odd Couple😥 😥
MacGyver (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

83%, 1.08

NCIS: New Orleans:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

88%, 1.14

Hawaii Five-0 (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

90%, 1.17

Blue Bloods (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

93%, 1.20

Scorpion:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

94%, 1.22

NCIS: Los Angeles 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

95%, 1.23

Criminal Minds 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

102%, 1.32

Life in Pieces 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

103%, 1.33

Bull🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

107%, 1.38

Superior Donuts🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

108%, 1.40

2 Broke Girls😐 😐 😐

108%, 1.40

Man With A Plan🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

110%, 1.42

Mom🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

120%, 1.55

Kevin Can Wait🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

120%, 1.56

Great Indoors🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

125%, 1.62

NCIS renewed

140%, 1.82

The Big Bang Theory🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

245%, 3.18

CW

CW 18-49 avg: 0.45

ProgramStatus

% CW avg, 18-49 Avg

Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (F)renewed
Reign (F)canceled

44%, 0.20

No Tomorrow😥 😥
Frequency😥 😥
Jane The Virginrenewed

77%, 0.35

The Vampire Diaries (F)canceled

77%, 0.35

The 100😐 😐 😐

88%, 0.40

Riverdale😐 😐 😐

100%, 0.45

Arrowrenewed

133%, 0.60

Supernaturalrenewed

138%, 0.63

DC’s Legends Of Tomorrowrenewed

147%, 0.67

Supergirl renewed

166%, 0.75

The Flashrenewed

229%, 1.03

Fox

Fox 18-49 avg: 1.10

ProgramStatus

% Fox avg, 18-49 Avg

Sleepy Hollow (F)😥 😥

50%, 0.54

Rosewood (F)😥 😥

57%, 0.63

Bonescanceled

76%, 0.83

New Girl🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

91%, 1.00

The Mick🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

100%, 1.10

Son of Zorn😐 😐 😐

100%, 1.10

Bob’s Burgersrenewed

105%, 1.15

Luciferrenewed

106%, 1.17

Gotham🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

106%, 1.17

APB🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

114%, 1.25

Star🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

120%, 1.31

24: Legacy🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

123%, 1.35

Family Guy 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

125%, 1.37

Lethal Weapon🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

128%, 1.40

The Simpsons renewed

222%, 2.43

The Last Man On Earth🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Brooklyn Nine-Nine🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
The Exorcist (F)😥 😥
Pitch😥 😥
Scream Queens 😥 😥
Empirerenewed
NBC

NBC 18-49 avg: 1.19

ProgramStatus

% NBC avg, 18-49 Avg

Emerald City (F)😥 😥

62%, 0.74

Grimm (F)canceled

67%, 0.80

Timeless😥 😥

67%, 0.80

Powerless😥 😥

76%, 0.90

The Blacklist🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

80%, 0.95

Blindspot😐 😐 😐

82%, 0.98

The Good Placerenewed
Superstore renewed

97%, 1.16

Chicago Med🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

101%, 1.20

Chicago P.D.🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

123%, 1.46

Law & Order: SVU 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

124%, 1.48

Chicago Fire🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

134%, 1.60

This Is Usrenewed

225%, 2.68


Doubt is likely to be canceled.

Its premiere ratings flopped out of the gate. Enjoy the episodes that CBS decides to air.

In a related move, given the failure of 4 of 6 the CBS rookie dramas this season (Pure Genius, Doubt, Ransom, Training Day) the reaper has moved his prediction for Code Black to “likely renewed”. It’ll make the headline when there’s an opening.

Son of Zorn, 2 Broke Girls & Blindspot predictions have all been moved down to a “toss up”, more on those moves in the coming weeks.

The only shows now predicted “certain to be renewed” are those with fourth season guarantees from the Syndication Gods, and the one show the reaper had as “certain to be canceled”, Scream Queens, is now “likely canceled”. The line between likely and certain on both sides of the predictions was always a distinction without much of a difference, created so that the reaper could generate more headlines when he needed to come up with five headlines a week. Now that he needs only one headline a week, he’s simplifying things.

With the New Year, the reaper has wiped his ratings slate clean and started his calculations anew beginning with Jan 2 ratings. The numbers will return to the table as new episodes air in 2017.

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The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 19-0-1

  • Right: Notorious, The Simpsons, Conviction, Pure Genius, Jane The Virgin, Supernatural, Legends of Tomorrow, Arrow, Supergirl, The Flash, Empire, This Is Us, The Middle, The Good Place, Scandal, Greys Anatomy, How To Get Away With Murder, Lucifer, Superstore
  • Wrong:
  • Draw (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Crazy Ex-Girlfriend

Reign, canceled before the reaper had a prediction for it, is not included in the tally above.

Status:
status-resized

Notes:
18-49 Avg. is the average Live+Same Day adults 18-49 rating for in season original episodes of the show it its regular timeslot.

Network 18-49 average is the average Live+Same Day adults 18-49 rating for all original episodes of all scripted shows on the network. Each network’s ratings average is not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

% Network Average (aka, relative rating): The 18-49 avg of the show/its own network avg.

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average relative ratings.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.