Predictions Week 21: #TrainingDay Is Likely To Be Canceled

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See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2017-18 season or cancellations by the end of the 2016-17 season. (The table below includes ratings from Jan 2, 2017 – Feb 5, 2017)

ABC

ABC 18-49 avg: 1.36

ProgramStatus

% ABC avg, 18-49 Avg

Convictioncanceled
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.😥 😥

48%, 0.65

Quantico😥 😥

55%, 0.75

The Real O’Neals😥 😥

66%, 0.90

Dr. Ken  (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

72%, 0.98

Fresh Off The Boat🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

96%, 1.30

Last Man Standing  (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

97%, 1.32

How To Get Away With Murder renewed 2/10

103%, 1.40

American Housewife:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

113%, 1.53

black-ish:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

118%, 1.60

The Middlerenewed

125%, 1.70

Speechless:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

125%, 1.70

Scandalrenewed 2/10

136%, 1.85

The Goldbergs:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

144%, 1.95

Modern Family:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

173%, 2.35

Grey’s Anatomy renewed 2/10

181%, 2.45

Secrets And Lies😥 😥
Notoriouscanceled
Once Upon A Time🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Designated Survivor🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
CBS

CBS 18-49 avg: 1.29

ProgramStatus

% CBS avg, 18-49 Avg

Ransom😥 😥

31%, 0.40

Elementary😥 😥

49%, 0.63

Pure Geniuscanceled
Madam Secretary:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

65%, 0.83

Training Day😥 😥

70%, 0.90

Code Black 😐 😐 😐

76%, 0.98

The Odd Couple😥 😥
MacGyver (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

85%, 1.10

Hawaii Five-0 (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

89%, 1.15

NCIS: New Orleans:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

91%, 1.17

NCIS: Los Angeles 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

96%, 1.23

Scorpion:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

96%, 1.23

Blue Bloods (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

97%, 1.25

Life in Pieces 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

105%, 1.35

Criminal Minds 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

106%, 1.37

Bull:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

111%, 1.43

Man With A Plan🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

111%, 1.43

2 Broke Girls🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

116%, 1.50

Mom🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

122%, 1.58

Kevin Can Wait:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

124%, 1.60

Great Indoors🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

129%, 1.67

NCIS renewed

145%, 1.87

Superior Donuts🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

147%, 1.90

The Big Bang Theory:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

261%, 3.37

CW

CW 18-49 avg: 0.42

ProgramStatus

% CW avg, 18-49 Avg

Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (F)renewed

48%, 0.20

No Tomorrow😥 😥
Frequency😥 😥
The Vampire Diaries (F)canceled

84%, 0.35

Jane The Virginrenewed

84%, 0.35

The 100😐 😐 😐

96%, 0.40

Riverdale😐 😐 😐

108%, 0.45

Arrowrenewed

144%, 0.60

Supernaturalrenewed

144%, 0.60

DC’s Legends Of Tomorrowrenewed

156%, 0.65

Supergirl renewed

180%, 0.75

The Flashrenewed

241%, 1.00

Reign (F)canceled
Fox

Fox 18-49 avg: 1.15

ProgramStatus

% Fox avg, 18-49 Avg

Sleepy Hollow (F)😥 😥

49%, 0.56

Rosewood (F)😥 😥

54%, 0.62

Bonescanceled

75%, 0.86

New Girl🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

89%, 1.03

The Mick🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

99%, 1.14

Lucifer🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

101%, 1.17

Gotham:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

101%, 1.17

Star🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

116%, 1.34

Son of Zorn🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

117%, 1.35

Lethal Weapon:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

123%, 1.43

Bob’s Burgersrenewed

130%, 1.50

Family Guy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

139%, 1.60

The Simpsons renewed

273%, 3.15

The Last Man On Earth🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Brooklyn Nine-Nine🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
The Exorcist (F)😥 😥
Pitch😥 😥
Scream Queens 😳 
Empirerenewed
NBC

NBC 18-49 avg: 1.22

ProgramStatus

% NBC avg, 18-49 Avg

Emerald City (F)😥 😥

64%, 0.78

Grimm (F)canceled

67%, 0.82

Timeless😥 😥

74%, 0.90

The Blacklist🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

80%, 0.98

Blindspot🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

86%, 1.05

The Good Placerenewed
Powerless🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

90%, 1.10

Superstore 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

98%, 1.20

Chicago Med🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

100%, 1.23

Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

119%, 1.45

Chicago P.D.:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

128%, 1.57

Chicago Fire:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

136%, 1.67

This Is Usrenewed

229%, 2.80


Training Day is likely to be canceled.

Sometimes one episode is all it takes. Training Day’s 0.9 premiere rating is all it takes for it to start as likely to be canceled.

The reaper has started his prediction for The 100 at a “toss up”. Predicting among the spring “WB show death match” between The 100, Riverdale, iZombie & The Originals isn’t going to be easy. The reaper’s going to wait at least until he sees the ratings for all four shows.

The reaper has started his prediction for Powerless at likely to be renewed. It’s premiere ratings would be good enough for renewal, but it has little to no room for post-premiere declines before that prediction will be adjusted.

Superior Donuts premiere ratings “not DOA”, but its regular timeslot ratings on Monday will determine its fate.

The ratings trends for Fall premiere shows in early 2017 may change several of the reaper’s predictions. Stay tuned.

With the New Year, the reaper has wiped his ratings slate clean and started his calculations anew beginning with Jan 2 ratings. The numbers will return to the table as new episodes air. His predictions for last Fall’s shows remain the same pending 2017 ratings.

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The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 17-0-1

  • Right: Notorious, The Simpsons, Conviction, Pure Genius, Jane The Virgin, Supernatural, Legends of Tomorrow, Arrow, Supergirl, The Flash, Empire, This Is Us, The Middle, The Good Place, Scandal, Greys Anatomy, How To Get Away With Murder
  • Wrong:
  • Draw (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Crazy Ex-Girlfriend

Reign, canceled before the reaper had a prediction for it, is not included in the tally above.

Status:
status-resized

Notes:
18-49 Avg. is the average Live+Same Day adults 18-49 rating for in season original episodes of the show it its regular timeslot.

Network 18-49 average is the average Live+Same Day adults 18-49 rating for all original episodes of all scripted shows on the network. Each network’s ratings average is not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

% Network Average (aka, relative rating): The 18-49 avg of the show/its own network avg.

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average relative ratings.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.