Predictions Week 20: #EmeraldCity Is Likely To Be Canceled

See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2017-18 season or cancellations by the end of the 2016-17 season. (The table below includes ratings from Jan 2, 2017 – Jan 29, 2017)

ABC

ABC 18-49 avg: 1.38

ProgramStatus

% ABC avg, 18-49 Avg

Convictioncanceled
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.😥 😥

48%, 0.67

Quantico😥 😥

58%, 0.80

The Real O’Neals😥 😥

65%, 0.90

Dr. Ken  (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

73%, 1.00

Fresh Off The Boat🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

94%, 1.30

Last Man Standing  (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

98%, 1.35

How To Get Away With Murder 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

109%, 1.50

American Housewife:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

111%, 1.53

black-ish:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

116%, 1.60

The Middlerenewed

124%, 1.70

Speechless:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

124%, 1.70

The Goldbergs:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

142%, 1.95

Scandal🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

145%, 2.00

Modern Family:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

171%, 2.35

Grey’s Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

189%, 2.60

Secrets And Lies😥 😥
Notoriouscanceled
Once Upon A Time🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Designated Survivor🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
CBS

CBS 18-49 avg: 1.28

ProgramStatus

% CBS avg, 18-49 Avg

Ransom😥 😥

31%, 0.40

Elementary😥 😥

49%, 0.63

Pure Geniuscanceled
Madam Secretary:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

65%, 0.83

Code Black 😐 😐 😐

73%, 0.93

The Odd Couple😥 😥

80%, 1.03

MacGyver (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

90%, 1.15

Hawaii Five-0 (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

91%, 1.17

NCIS: New Orleans:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

91%, 1.17

NCIS: Los Angeles 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

93%, 1.20

Scorpion:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

96%, 1.23

Blue Bloods (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

99%, 1.27

Life in Pieces 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

106%, 1.37

Criminal Minds 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

109%, 1.40

Bull:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

112%, 1.43

Man With A Plan🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

112%, 1.43

2 Broke Girls🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

117%, 1.50

Mom🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

122%, 1.57

Kevin Can Wait:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

125%, 1.60

Great Indoors🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

130%, 1.67

NCIS renewed

145%, 1.87

The Big Bang Theory:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

273%, 3.50

CW

CW 18-49 avg: 0.36

ProgramStatus

% CW avg, 18-49 Avg

Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (F)renewed

56%, 0.20

No Tomorrow😥 😥
Frequency😥 😥
The Vampire Diaries (F)canceled

93%, 0.33

Jane The Virginrenewed

111%, 0.40

Riverdale😐 😐 😐

139%, 0.50

DC’s Legends Of Tomorrowrenewed

167%, 0.60

Arrowrenewed

167%, 0.60

Supernaturalrenewed

167%, 0.60

Supergirl renewed

223%, 0.80

The Flashrenewed

251%, 0.90

Reign (F)canceled
Fox

Fox 18-49 avg: 1.19

ProgramStatus

% Fox avg, 18-49 Avg

Sleepy Hollow (F)😥 😥

48%, 0.58

Rosewood (F)😥 😥

52%, 0.63

Bonescanceled

73%, 0.88

New Girl🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

86%, 1.03

Lucifer🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

96%, 1.15

The Mick🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

96%, 1.15

Gotham:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

101%, 1.20

Son of Zorn🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

113%, 1.35

Star🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

113%, 1.35

Lethal Weapon:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

120%, 1.43

Bob’s Burgersrenewed

126%, 1.50

Family Guy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

134%, 1.60

The Simpsons renewed

264%, 3.15

The Last Man On Earth🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Brooklyn Nine-Nine🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
The Exorcist (F)😥 😥
Pitch😥 😥
Scream Queens 😳 
Empirerenewed
NBC

NBC 18-49 avg: 1.27

ProgramStatus

% NBC avg, 18-49 Avg

Emerald City (F)😥 😥

64%, 0.82

Grimm (F)canceled

65%, 0.83

Timeless😥 😥

71%, 0.90

The Blacklist🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

78%, 1.00

Blindspot🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

82%, 1.05

The Good Placerenewed 1/30/17
Superstore 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

94%, 1.20

Chicago Med🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

97%, 1.23

Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

114%, 1.45

Chicago P.D.:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

123%, 1.57

Chicago Fire:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

131%, 1.67

This Is Usrenewed

220%, 2.80


Emerald City is likely to be canceled.

Its ratings weren’t terrible for a Friday premiere, but they haven’t stopped declining. Last week’s 0.6 puts it into the likely canceled range, even for a Friday show.

As you read the nonsense from the #PRJedi in the TV media about Emerald City being an “event series” remember what that means:

If it had good ratings, it would be renewed.

Since the ratings are bad, one season was always the plan!

The reaper’s started his prediction for Riverdale at a toss up. It’s a WB produced show, so it can’t get renewed with terrible ratings like CBS produced shows Crazy Ex-Girlfriend & Jane The Virgin, but there are several more WB produced shows still to premiere that could go even lower (The Originals, The 100, iZombie). The mix of all their ratings, and their episode counts, will determine the reaper’s predictions for them.

The ratings trends for Fall premiere shows in early 2017 may change several of the reaper’s predictions. Stay tuned.

With the New Year, the reaper has wiped his ratings slate clean and started his calculations anew beginning with Jan 2 ratings. The numbers will return to the table as new episodes air. His predictions for last Fall’s shows remain the same pending 2017 ratings.

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The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 14-0-1

  • Right: Notorious, The Simpsons, Conviction, Pure Genius, Jane The Virgin, Supernatural, Legends of Tomorrow, Arrow, Supergirl, The Flash, Empire, This Is Us, The Middle, The Good Place
  • Wrong:
  • Draw (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Crazy Ex-Girlfriend

Reign, canceled before the reaper had a prediction for it, is not included in the tally above.

Status:
status-resized

Notes:
18-49 Avg. is the average Live+Same Day adults 18-49 rating for in season original episodes of the show it its regular timeslot.

Network 18-49 average is the average Live+Same Day adults 18-49 rating for all original episodes of all scripted shows on the network. Each network’s ratings average is not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

% Network Average (aka, relative rating): The 18-49 avg of the show/its own network avg.

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average relative ratings.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.