Predictions Week 17: #SleepyHollow Is Likely To Be Canceled

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See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2017-18 season or cancellations by the end of the 2016-17 season. (The table below includes ratings from Jan 2, 2017 – Jan 8, 2017)

ABC

ABC 18-49 avg: 1.49

ProgramStatus

% ABC avg, 18-49 Avg

Convictioncanceled

34%, 0.50

The Real O’Neals😥 😥

67%, 1.00

Dr. Ken  (F)😐 😐 😐

74%, 1.10

Fresh Off The Boat🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

94%, 1.40

Last Man Standing  (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

101%, 1.50

American Housewife:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

107%, 1.60

The Middle:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

114%, 1.70

black-ish:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

114%, 1.70

Speechless:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

114%, 1.70

The Goldbergs:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

127%, 1.90

Modern Family:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

154%, 2.30

Secrets And Lies😥 😥
Quantico😥 😥
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.😐 😐 😐
Notoriouscanceled
Once Upon A Time🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
How To Get Away With Murder 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Designated Survivor🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Grey’s Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
CBS

CBS 18-49 avg: 1.33

ProgramStatus

% CBS avg, 18-49 Avg

Ransom😥 😥

30%, 0.40

Elementary😥 😥

53%, 0.70

Pure Geniuscanceled

60%, 0.80

Madam Secretary:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

68%, 0.90

The Odd Couple😥 😥

75%, 1.00

Code Black 😐 😐 😐

75%, 1.00

Scorpion:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

90%, 1.20

NCIS: New Orleans:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

90%, 1.20

Man With A Plan🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

90%, 1.20

MacGyver (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

90%, 1.20

Hawaii Five-0 (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

90%, 1.20

2 Broke Girls🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

98%, 1.30

Criminal Minds 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

98%, 1.30

Blue Bloods (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

98%, 1.30

NCIS: Los Angeles 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

98%, 1.30

Kevin Can Wait:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

105%, 1.40

Life in Pieces 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

105%, 1.40

Bull:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

113%, 1.50

Mom🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

128%, 1.70

NCIS renewed

135%, 1.80

Great Indoors🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

143%, 1.90

The Big Bang Theory:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

270%, 3.60

CW

CW 18-49 avg: 0.20

ProgramStatus

% CW avg, 18-49 Avg

No Tomorrow😥 😥

100%, 0.20

Frequency😥 😥

100%, 0.20

Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (F)renewed

100%, 0.20

The Vampire Diaries (F)canceled
Jane The Virginrenewed
Supernaturalrenewed
DC’s Legends Of Tomorrowrenewed
Arrowrenewed
Supergirl renewed
The Flashrenewed
Reign (F)canceled
Fox

Fox 18-49 avg: 1.64

ProgramStatus

% Fox avg, 18-49 Avg

Rosewood (F)😥 😥

37%, 0.60

Sleepy Hollow (F)😥 😥

37%, 0.60

Bonescanceled

55%, 0.90

New Girl🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

67%, 1.10

The Mick🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

79%, 1.30

Lethal Weapon:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

86%, 1.40

The Last Man On Earth🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

92%, 1.50

Star🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

98%, 1.60

Family Guy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

110%, 1.80

Son of Zorn🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

141%, 2.30

The Simpsons renewed

299%, 4.90

Scream Queens 😳 
The Exorcist (F)😥 😥
Pitch😥 😥
Brooklyn Nine-Nine🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Lucifer🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Gotham:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Bob’s Burgersrenewed
Empire:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
NBC

NBC 18-49 avg: 1.23

ProgramStatus

% NBC avg, 18-49 Avg

Grimm (F)canceled

73%, 0.90

The Blacklist🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

81%, 1.00

The Good Place🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

81%, 1.00

Emerald City (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

85%, 1.05

Blindspot🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

89%, 1.10

Superstore 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

97%, 1.20

Chicago Med🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

97%, 1.20

Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

122%, 1.50

Chicago Fire:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

130%, 1.60

Chicago P.D.🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

130%, 1.60

Timeless😥 😥
This Is Us:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


Sleepy Hollow is likely to be canceled.

Its season four premiere ratings tied the season three low. While its season four renewal wasn’t guaranteed by the Syndication Gods, it was significantly assisted. No such assistance will be provided in the future.

The premiere ratings for Emerald City were fine for a Friday. While ratings tend to fall after a premiere, were it to maintain them, renewal is likely.

The CW renewed all its veteran shows that had already aired this season (Jane The Virgin, Supernatural, Legends of Tomorrow, Arrow, Supergirl, & Crazy Ex-Girlfriend). The only slight surprise was CEG, which the reaper had as a toss up. Further cementing the rule that a certain number of CBS Studios shows (CEG, JtV) are renewed no matter how low their ratings go.

The ratings trends for Fall premiere shows in early 2017 will likely change several of the reaper’s predictions. Stay tuned.

With the New Year, the reaper has wiped his ratings slate clean and started his calculations anew beginning with Jan 2 ratings. The numbers will return to the table as new episodes air. His predictions for last Fall’s shows remain the same pending 2017 ratings.

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The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 10-0-1

  • Right: Notorious, The Simpsons, Conviction, Pure Genius, Jane The Virgin, Supernatural, Legends of Tomorrow, Arrow, Supergirl
  • Wrong:
  • Draw (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Crazy Ex-Girlfriend

Reign, canceled before the reaper had a prediction for it, is not included in the tally above.

Status:
status-resized

Notes:
18-49 Avg. is the average Live+Same Day adults 18-49 rating for in season original episodes of the show it its regular timeslot.

Network 18-49 average is the average Live+Same Day adults 18-49 rating for all original episodes of all scripted shows on the network. Each network’s ratings average is not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

% Network Average (aka, relative rating): The 18-49 avg of the show/its own network avg.

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average relative ratings.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.