Predictions Week 11: #ScreamQueens Is Certain To Be Canceled, #PureGenius Has Been Canceled

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See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2017-18 season or cancellations by the end of the 2016-17 season. (The table below includes ratings from Sept. 19, 2016 – Nov. 27, 2016)

ABC

ABC 18-49 avg: 1.33

ProgramStatus

% ABC avg, 18-49 Avg

Convictioncanceled

57%, 0.76

Secrets And Lies😥 😥

58%, 0.76

Quantico😥 😥

58%, 0.76

Dr. Ken  (F)😐 😐 😐

65%, 0.86

Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.😐 😐 😐

65%, 0.87

Notoriouscanceled

69%, 0.91

The Real O’Neals😥 😥

75%, 1.00

Once Upon A Time🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

80%, 1.07

Last Man Standing  (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

84%, 1.11

How To Get Away With Murder 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

94%, 1.24

Fresh Off The Boat🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

98%, 1.30

Designated Survivor🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

116%, 1.54

The Middle:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

118%, 1.57

American Housewife:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

123%, 1.63

black-ish:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

130%, 1.73

Speechless:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

135%, 1.79

The Goldbergs:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

143%, 1.90

Grey’s Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

165%, 2.19

Modern Family:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

176%, 2.33

CBS

CBS 18-49 avg: 1.45

ProgramStatus

% CBS avg, 18-49 Avg

Elementary😥 😥

48%, 0.70

Pure Geniuscanceled

62%, 0.90

Code Black 😐 😐 😐

66%, 0.96

Madam Secretary:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

69%, 1.00

The Odd Couple😐 😐 😐

70%, 1.02

MacGyver (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

80%, 1.17

Blue Bloods (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

84%, 1.22

Scorpion:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

85%, 1.24

Hawaii Five-0 (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

86%, 1.24

NCIS: New Orleans:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

88%, 1.29

Life in Pieces 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

91%, 1.32

Mom🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

95%, 1.38

Man With A Plan🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

95%, 1.38

2 Broke Girls🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

101%, 1.46

NCIS: Los Angeles 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

101%, 1.47

Criminal Minds 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

107%, 1.55

Great Indoors🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

107%, 1.56

Bull:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

116%, 1.69

NCIS renewed

130%, 1.89

Kevin Can Wait:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

134%, 1.95

The Big Bang Theory:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

235%, 3.42

CW

CW 18-49 avg: 0.56

ProgramStatus

% CW avg, 18-49 Avg

Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (F)😐 😐 😐

36%, 0.20

Frequency😥 😥

56%, 0.31

No Tomorrow😥 😥

56%, 0.31

The Vampire Diaries (F)canceled

64%, 0.36

Jane The Virgin:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

68%, 0.38

DC’s Legends Of Tomorrow:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

110%, 0.62

Supernatural:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

119%, 0.67

Arrow:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

120%, 0.67

Supergirl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

145%, 0.81

The Flash:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

196%, 1.10

Fox

Fox 18-49 avg: 1.26

ProgramStatus

% Fox avg, 18-49 Avg

Scream Queens 😳 

54%, 0.68

The Exorcist (F)😥 😥

55%, 0.69

Rosewood😥 😥

61%, 0.78

Pitch😐 😐 😐

69%, 0.88

Brooklyn Nine-Nine🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

76%, 0.96

New Girl🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

77%, 0.97

The Last Man On Earth🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

78%, 0.98

Lucifer🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

84%, 1.06

Gotham:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

90%, 1.14

Bob’s Burgersrenewed

93%, 1.17

Son of Zorn🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

102%, 1.28

Family Guy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

113%, 1.43

Lethal Weapon:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

147%, 1.86

The Simpsons renewed

157%, 1.98

Empire:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

275%, 3.47

Bonescanceled
NBC

NBC 18-49 avg: 1.45

ProgramStatus

% NBC avg, 18-49 Avg

The Blacklist🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

80%, 1.16

Blindspot🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

81%, 1.18

The Good Place🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

85%, 1.24

Superstore 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

86%, 1.26

Chicago Med🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

92%, 1.34

Timeless😥 😥

93%, 1.36

Chicago P.D.🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

95%, 1.39

Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

103%, 1.50

Chicago Fire:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

109%, 1.58

This Is Us:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

176%, 2.56

Grimm (F)canceled


Scream Queens is certain to be canceled. It’s now Fox’s lowest rated scripted show. Last year’s ratings that got it renewed were close to the Fox scripted median. Last week’s ratings were about  half the Fox scripted median.

Pure Genius became the third show canceled this season when CBS decided not to order any more episodes.

By the same token, shouldn’t No Tomorrow and Frequency also be designated as canceled? They probably should! But with 5 more likely low rated shows yet to air, the reaper still can’t be certain which of their shows the CW will cancel.

Note: Predictions early in a show’s run are likely to change quickly with ratings results. Stay tuned.

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The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 4-0-0

  • Right: Notorious, The Simpsons, Conviction, Pure Genius
  • Wrong:
  • Draw (renewed or canceled while a toss up):


Status:
status-resized

Notes:
18-49 Avg. is the average Live+Same Day adults 18-49 rating for in season original episodes of the show it its regular timeslot.

Network 18-49 average is the average Live+Same Day adults 18-49 rating for all original episodes of all scripted shows on the network. Each network’s ratings average is not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

% Network Average (aka, relative rating): The 18-49 avg of the show/its own network avg.

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average relative ratings.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.