Predictions Week 7: #PureGenius Is Likely To Be Canceled, #Notorious Has Been Canceled

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See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2017-18 season or cancellations by the end of the 2016-17 season. (The table below includes ratings from Sept. 19, 2016 – Oct. 30, 2016)

ABC

ABC 18-49 avg: 1.37

ProgramStatus

% ABC avg, 18-49 Avg

Conviction😥 😥

58%, 0.80

Secrets And Lies😥 😥

60%, 0.82

Quantico😐 😐 😐

60%, 0.82

Dr. Ken  (F)😐 😐 😐

63%, 0.86

Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.😐 😐 😐

64%, 0.88

Notoriouscanceled

68%, 0.93

The Real O’Neals🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

75%, 1.03

Last Man Standing  (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

80%, 1.10

Once Upon A Time🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

80%, 1.10

How To Get Away With Murder 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

90%, 1.23

Fresh Off The Boat🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

99%, 1.37

The Middle:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

116%, 1.60

Designated Survivor🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

122%, 1.68

American Housewife:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

126%, 1.73

Speechless:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

132%, 1.82

black-ish:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

132%, 1.82

The Goldbergs:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

137%, 1.88

Grey’s Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

164%, 2.25

Modern Family:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

172%, 2.36

CBS

CBS 18-49 avg: 1.58

ProgramStatus

% CBS avg, 18-49 Avg

Elementary😥 😥

46%, 0.73

Pure Genius😥 😥

63%, 1.00

Madam Secretary:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

65%, 1.03

Code Black 😐 😐 😐

68%, 1.08

The Odd Couple😐 😐 😐

69%, 1.10

Blue Bloods (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

77%, 1.22

MacGyver (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

77%, 1.22

Hawaii Five-0 (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

78%, 1.23

NCIS: New Orleans:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

83%, 1.32

Scorpion:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

84%, 1.33

Life in Pieces 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

88%, 1.40

NCIS: Los Angeles 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

92%, 1.46

Mom🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

95%, 1.50

2 Broke Girls🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

99%, 1.58

Man With A Plan🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

101%, 1.60

Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

104%, 1.65

Bull:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

111%, 1.76

Great Indoors🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

120%, 1.90

NCIS renewed

121%, 1.92

Kevin Can Wait:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

141%, 2.23

The Big Bang Theory:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

223%, 3.53

CW

CW 18-49 avg: 0.59

ProgramStatus

% CW avg, 18-49 Avg

Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (F)😐 😐 😐

34%, 0.20

No Tomorrow😐 😐 😐

55%, 0.33

Frequency😐 😐 😐

55%, 0.33

Jane The Virgin:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

67%, 0.40

The Vampire Diaries (F)canceled

67%, 0.40

DC’s Legends Of Tomorrow:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

107%, 0.63

Supernatural:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

112%, 0.67

Arrow:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

114%, 0.68

Supergirl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

157%, 0.93

The Flash:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

185%, 1.10

Fox

Fox 18-49 avg: 1.31

ProgramStatus

% Fox avg, 18-49 Avg

The Exorcist (F)😐 😐 😐

56%, 0.74

Scream Queens 😥 😥

57%, 0.75

Rosewood😐 😐 😐

61%, 0.80

Pitch😐 😐 😐

72%, 0.94

The Last Man On Earth🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

74%, 0.98

Brooklyn Nine-Nine🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

75%, 0.98

New Girl🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

76%, 1.00

Lucifer🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

84%, 1.10

Gotham🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

88%, 1.15

Bob’s Burgersrenewed

94%, 1.23

Son of Zorn🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

99%, 1.30

Family Guy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

110%, 1.45

Lethal Weapon:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

145%, 1.90

The Simpsons :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

152%, 2.00

Empire:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

282%, 3.70

Bonescanceled
NBC

NBC 18-49 avg: 1.47

ProgramStatus

% NBC avg, 18-49 Avg

The Blacklist🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

79%, 1.17

Blindspot🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

83%, 1.22

The Good Place🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

85%, 1.25

Superstore 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

87%, 1.28

Chicago Med🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

91%, 1.33

Chicago P.D.🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

98%, 1.44

Timeless🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

102%, 1.50

Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

105%, 1.54

Chicago Fire:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

113%, 1.67

This Is Us:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

179%, 2.64

Grimm (F)canceled

Pure Genius is likely to be canceled. Its 1.0 A18-49 premiere rating puts it directly into the “likely canceled” range. “Code Black’s rating was the same!” you say? A sophomore show might survive for another season with that rating on CBS, a freshman won’t.

Frequency’s  ratings in the past two weeks have been just as dreadful as No Tomorrow’s. For that reason, it makes sense to have the same current prediction for both shows. Given that CW might cancel ~2 more shows (along with Vampire Diaries), and with 5 more (possibly very low rated) CW shows to premiere this season, the reaper’s made them both “toss ups” for now.

Notorious became the first show canceled in the 2016-17 season when its episode order was reduced from 13 to 10.

Note: Early season predictions are likely to change quickly with ratings results. Stay tuned.

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The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 1-0-0

  • Right: Notorious
  • Wrong:
  • Draw (renewed or canceled while a toss up):


Status:
status-resized

Notes:
18-49 Avg. is the average Live+Same Day adults 18-49 rating for in season original episodes of the show it its regular timeslot.

Network 18-49 average is the average Live+Same Day adults 18-49 rating for all original episodes of all scripted shows on the network. Each network’s ratings average is not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

% Network Average (aka, relative rating): The 18-49 avg of the show/its own network avg.

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average relative ratings.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.