TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – May 1, 2016)
|Second Chance* (some F)||😳|
|Sleepy Hollow* (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|Grandfathered||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|Cooper Barrett’s Guide To Surviving Life*||canceled|
|The Last Man On Earth||renewed|
|The X-Files*||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
Sleepy Hollow, The X Files and Grandfathered are all likely to be renewed, but the reaper wouldn’t be surprised to miss any of those predictions.
Sleepy Hollow ratings are marginal, and it was moved to Friday mid-season, but it’s a third season show produced by Fox.
Grandfathered ratings were bad for a rookie, but it’s the only rookie sitcom with a chance for survival.
The X Files ratings were the second best on Fox this season, but there’s uncertainty whether Fox can get the leads under contract to do it again.
The reaper’s running tally on Fox shows this season:
Right: Empire, Minority Report, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Gotham, New Girl, Lucifer, Rosewood
Tie/Draw/Push: (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Scream Queens, Bobs Burgers, Last Man On Earth
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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.