TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Apr 24, 2016)
|Second Chance* (some F)||😳|
|Sleepy Hollow* (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|Grandfathered||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|Cooper Barrett’s Guide To Surviving Life*||canceled|
|The Last Man On Earth||renewed|
|The X-Files*||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
Sleepy Hollow is likely to be renewed.
The reaper changed his prediction for the the show to certain to be canceled when it was moved to Friday, then back to a toss up after Last Man On Earth was renewed without a full season order (calling into question that previous excellent cancellation indicator).
Now, given a self imposed May 3 deadline for changing all his toss up predictions he’s moving to likely renewed. It’s a third season show, owned by Fox. If it were finishing its third season with 66 episodes it would be guaranteed renewal by the Syndication Gods. Since it’s finishing with 49, the reaper’s still inclined to lean positively.
The reaper’s running tally on Fox shows this season:
Right: Empire, Minority Report, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Gotham, New Girl, Lucifer, Rosewood
Tie/Draw/Push: (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Scream Queens, Bobs Burgers, Last Man On Earth
Follow TV Grim Reaper on Twitter, Facebook, Tumblr, Email or RSS.
*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.