TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Apr 24, 2016)
|The Originals (F)||renewed|
|Jane The Virgin||renewed|
|The Vampire Diaries (F)||renewed|
|Containment||😐 😐 😐|
|DC’s Legends Of Tomorrow||renewed|
Containment is a toss up to be canceled or renewed.
Its premiere ratings (0.5) were as good as recent episodes of already renewed iZombie. The reaper’s prediction will move off of toss up no later than May 3. He hopes the ratings give him a signal.
The show is being marketed as an “event series”. That term is irrelevant to its future. Today, “event series” means if the ratings are good it will be renewed, and if the ratings are bad “one season was always the plan.”
The reaper’s running tally on CW shows this season:
Right: Reign, Jane the Virgin, The Originals, Supernatural, DC’s Legends of Tomorrow, Arrow, The Flash
Wrong: iZombie, Crazy Ex Girlfriend
Tie/Draw/Push: (renewed or canceled while a toss up): The Vampire Diaries, The 100
Follow TV Grim Reaper on Twitter, Facebook, Tumblr, Email or RSS.
*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.