ABC Predictions: ‘Castle’ Is Likely To Be Renewed

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See all the Reaper’s ABC predictions here.

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TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Apr 24, 2016)

ProgramStatus

Reaper Index

Wicked City*canceled

0.39

Galavant*😥 😥

0.46

Of Kings And Prophets*canceled

0.47

Blood & Oil*canceled

0.57

Agent Carter*😥 😥

0.59

The Muppets*😥 😥

0.61

The Family😳 

0.63

Nashville😐 😐 😐

0.66

American Crime*🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

0.67

Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.renewed

0.73

Dr. Ken (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

0.76

Quanticorenewed

0.77

Castle 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

0.78

The Catch😐 😐 😐

0.78

Last Man Standing (F):mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

0.87

Once Upon A Timerenewed

0.88

The Real O’Neals🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

0.90

Fresh Off The Boatrenewed

0.93

How To Get Away With Murder*renewed

1.10

Scandalrenewed

1.29

black-ishrenewed

1.36

The Middlerenewed

1.37

The Goldbergsrenewed

1.50

Grey’s Anatomy renewed

1.61

Modern Familyrenewed

1.87


Castle is likely to be renewed.

Given the widely reported news that Nathan Fillion was negotiating for another season of the show, it’s clear that there is at least the interest in continuing the show (regardless of irrelevant fans unhappy with recent casting moves).

It’s impossible for the reaper to gauge the likelihood of such negotiations being successful, but in such cases he assumes that a deal will get done. Sometimes it does, sometimes it doesn’t (Brothers & Sisters).

The reaper’s running tally on ABC shows this season: 

Right: Blood & Oil, Wicked City, Once Upon A Time, The Goldbergs, Fresh Off The Boat, blackish, Grey’s Anatomy, Scandal, How to Get Away With Murder, Agents of SHIELD, Modern Family, The Middle, Of Kings and Prophets

Wrong:

Draw/Tie/Push: (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Quantico

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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

😳certain to be cancelled by May, 2016
😥 😥more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016
😐 😐 😐toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:certain to be renewed by May, 2016


The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.