Fox Predictions: ‘Grandfathered’ Is Likely To Be Renewed

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See all the Reaper’s Fox predictions here.

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TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Apr 17, 2016)

ProgramStatus

Reaper Index

Minority Report*canceled

0.47

Second Chance* (some F)😳 

0.53

The Grinder😳 

0.55

Sleepy Hollow* (F)😐 😐 😐

0.62

Bordertown😳 

0.68

Scream Queens*renewed

0.68

Grandfathered🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

0.75

Cooper Barrett’s Guide To Surviving Life*canceled

0.75

Bonesrenewed

0.75

Brooklyn Nine-Ninerenewed

0.80

Bob’s Burgersrenewed

0.86

Rosewoodrenewed

0.88

The Last Man On Earthrenewed

0.89

New Girlrenewed

1.02

Gothamrenewed

1.11

Family Guy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

1.23

Luciferrenewed

1.27

The Simpsons renewed

1.39

The X-Files*🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

2.33

Empirerenewed

3.60


Grandfathered is likely to be renewed.

After having Grandfathered as a toss up nearly all season, time is running out for the reaper to eliminate all his toss up predictions (no later than May 3!). Grandfathered ratings are at 75% of the Fox scripted avg. in calendar 2016. That’s at the bleeding edge of the range for a rookie renewal, but were it canceled Fox would suffer a complete rookie sitcom shut out for 2015-16. The reaper doesn’t think Fox will let that happen.

The reaper’s running tally on Fox shows this season: 

Right: Empire, Minority Report, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Gotham, New Girl, Lucifer, Rosewood

Wrong: Bones

Tie/Draw/Push: (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Scream Queens, Bobs Burgers, Last Man On Earth

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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

😳certain to be cancelled by May, 2016
😥 😥more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016
😐 😐 😐toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:certain to be renewed by May, 2016


The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.