TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Apr 10, 2016)
|Second Chance* (some F)||😳|
|Sleepy Hollow* (F)||😐 😐 😐|
|Grandfathered||😐 😐 😐|
|Cooper Barrett’s Guide To Surviving Life||😳|
|The Last Man On Earth||renewed|
|New Girl||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The X-Files*||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
The reaper has had Grandfathered as a toss up prediction for most of the season. Its ratings at 74% of the Fox scripted spring average put it on the low end of the toss up range.
If Fox had renewed another rookie sitcom, the reaper would be counting it out now, but given that the other rookie sitcoms: The Grinder, Bordertown & Cooper Barrett’s Guide to Surviving Life are all certain to be canceled, the reaper will keep it at a toss up a bit longer.
The reaper’s running tally on Fox shows this season:
Right: Empire, Minority Report, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Gotham, Lucifer, Rosewood
Tie/Draw/Push: (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Scream Queens, Bobs Burgers, Last Man On Earth
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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.