ABC Predictions: ‘Nashville’ Is A Toss Up To Be Canceled Or Renewed

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See all the Reaper’s ABC predictions here.

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TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Mar 24, 2016)

ProgramStatus

Reaper Index

Wicked City*canceled

0.39

Galavant*😥 😥

0.46

Of Kings And Prophets*canceled

0.47

Blood & Oil*canceled

0.57

Agent Carter*😥 😥

0.59

The Muppets*😥 😥

0.61

Nashville😐 😐 😐

0.65

American Crime*🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

0.67

The Family😳 

0.69

Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.renewed

0.73

Castle 😐 😐 😐

0.74

Dr. Ken (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

0.75

Quanticorenewed

0.77

Last Man Standing (F):mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

0.87

Once Upon A Timerenewed

0.89

Fresh Off The Boatrenewed

0.91

The Real O’Neals😐 😐 😐

0.99

How To Get Away With Murderrenewed

1.09

Scandalrenewed

1.29

The Middlerenewed

1.34

black-ishrenewed

1.36

The Goldbergsrenewed

1.46

Grey’s Anatomy renewed

1.58

Modern Familyrenewed

1.85


Nashville is a toss up to be canceled or renewed.

Its studio (ABC Studios) named new show runners contingent on the show being renewed for next season. That’s not the same thing as a renewal, but it puts the reaper’s likely cancellation prediction in enough doubt to have him move it to a toss up.

The reaper’s running tally on ABC shows this season: 

Right: Blood & Oil, Wicked City, Once Upon A Time, The Goldbergs, Fresh Off The Boat, blackish, Grey’s Anatomy, Scandal, How to Get Away With Murder, Agents of SHIELD, Modern Family, The Middle, Of Kings and Prophets

Wrong:

Draw/Tie/Push: (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Quantico

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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

😳certain to be cancelled by May, 2016
😥 😥more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016
😐 😐 😐toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:certain to be renewed by May, 2016


The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.