TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Mar 13, 2016)
|Second Chance (some F)||😳|
|Sleepy Hollow (F)||😐 😐 😐|
|Grandfathered||😐 😐 😐|
|Rosewood||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The Last Man On Earth||😐 😐 😐|
|Cooper Barrett’s Guide To Surviving Life||😥 😥|
|New Girl||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|Lucifer||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The X-Files*||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
The reaper typically reviews his methods ever summer, but after the CW renewed every show in their line up on Friday, the reaper’s doing some re-adjustment this season as well.
The reaper’s two CW misses (Crazy Ex-Girlfriend, iZombie) received less than a “full season” order of 22 episodes, and yet were still renewed.
Since the reaper had both Last Man on Earth and Sleepy Hollow predicted as likely canceled for the same reason, it’s caused him to revise his predictions for both shows from likely canceled to toss up. Sleepy Hollow will get the headline next week.
The reaper’s running tally on Fox shows this season:
Right: Empire, Minority Report
Tie/Draw/Push: (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Scream Queens, Bobs Burgers
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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.