Fox Predictions: ‘Last Man On Earth’ Is A “Toss Up” To Be Renewed Or Canceled

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See all the Reaper’s Foxย predictions here.

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TV Grim Reaperย predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016.ย (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Mar 13, 2016)

ProgramStatus

Reaper Index

Minority Report*canceled

0.47

The Grinder๐Ÿ˜ณย 

0.54

Second Chance (some F)๐Ÿ˜ณย 

0.55

Sleepy Hollow (F)๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜

0.63

Scream Queens*renewed

0.68

Grandfathered๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜

0.72

Rosewood๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚

0.73

Brooklyn Nine-Nine๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚

0.80

Bordertown๐Ÿ˜ฅ ๐Ÿ˜ฅ

0.84

Bob’s Burgersrenewed

0.85

The Last Man On Earth๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜

0.89

Cooper Barrettโ€™s Guide To Surviving Life๐Ÿ˜ฅ ๐Ÿ˜ฅ

0.93

New Girl๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚

1.05

Family Guy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

1.20

Gotham:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

1.21

Lucifer๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚

1.41

The Simpsons renewed

1.53

The X-Files*๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚

2.33

Bonesrenewed
Empirerenewed


The reaper typically reviews his methods ever summer, but after the CW renewed every show in their line up on Friday, the reaper’s doing some re-adjustment this season as well.

The reaper’s two CW misses (Crazy Ex-Girlfriend, iZombie) received less than a “full season” order of 22 episodes, and yet were still renewed.

Since the reaper had both Last Man on Earth and Sleepy Hollow predicted as likely canceled for the same reason, it’s caused him to revise his predictions for both shows from likely canceled to toss up. Sleepy Hollow will get the headline next week.

The reaper’s running tally on Foxย shows this season:ย 

Right:ย Empire, Minority Report

Wrong: Bones

Tie/Draw/Push: (renewed or canceled while a toss up):ย Scream Queens, Bobs Burgers

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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaperย Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

๐Ÿ˜ณcertain to be cancelled by May,ย 2016
๐Ÿ˜ฅ ๐Ÿ˜ฅmore likely to be cancelled than renewed by May,ย 2016
๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜toss up between renewal or cancellation by May,ย 2016
๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May,ย 2016
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:certain to be renewed by May,ย 2016


Theย Reaperย Indexย is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good haveย TV Grim Reaper’s predictions beenย in past seasons?ย Seeย his past prediction record here.