ABC Predictions: ‘The Family’ Is Certain To Be Canceled

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See all the Reaper’s ABC predictions here.

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TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Mar 6, 2016)

ProgramStatus

Reaper Index

Wicked City*canceled

0.39

Galavant*😥 😥

0.46

Blood & Oil*canceled

0.57

Agent Carter*😥 😥

0.59

The Muppets*😥 😥

0.61

American Crime😐 😐 😐

0.67

Castle 😐 😐 😐

0.72

Dr. Ken (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

0.76

Quanticorenewed

0.79

The Family😳

0.82

Last Man Standing (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

0.87

Fresh Off The Boatrenewed

0.91

Once Upon A Timerenewed

0.93

How To Get Away With Murderrenewed

1.11

The Real O’Neals🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

1.32

black-ishrenewed

1.34

Scandalrenewed

1.34

The Middlerenewed

1.36

The Goldbergsrenewed

1.44

Grey’s Anatomy renewed

1.59

Modern Familyrenewed

1.85

Nashville😥 😥
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.renewed


The Family is certain to be canceled.

Its pre-premiere ratings on Thursday were fine, its timeslot premiere ratings were terrible. It’s certain to be canceled.

In other news, ABC renewed a pile of shows last week. The only marginal surprise was Quantico, which the reaper had predicted a toss up at the end of its Fall run, that’s a draw/tie/push for the reaper.

Are the rest of the shows that didn’t get renewed now likely to be canceled? No. In fact, last week’s renewals haven’t motivated the reaper to change any of his existing ABC predictions this week.

The reaper’s running tally on ABC shows this season: 

Right: Blood & Oil, Wicked City, Once Upon A Time, The Goldbergs, Fresh Off The Boat, blackish, Grey’s Anatomy, Scandal, How to Get Away With Murder, Agents of SHIELD, Modern Family, The Middle

Wrong:

Draw/Tie/Push: (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Quantico

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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

😳certain to be cancelled by May, 2016
😥 😥more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016
😐 😐 😐toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:certain to be renewed by May, 2016


The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.