TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Feb 21, 2016)
|Reign (F) (CBS)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (CBS)||😳|
|Jane The Virgin (CBS)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The Originals (F) (WB)|
|The Vampire Diaries (F) (WB)||😐 😐 😐|
|The 100 (WB/CBS)||😐 😐 😐|
|DC’s Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The Flash (WB)|
The Vampire Diaries is a “toss up” to be canceled or renewed.
Its Friday ratings are holding at a level that no longer indicates likely renewal. The Originals ratings are just as bad, but the Syndication Gods guarantee a season four.
The CW canceled just two shows from its in-season line up last year (The Messengers, Hart Of Dixie). That, plus likely funding limitations from CBS/WB, limited it to just one new Fall premiere. The previous season (2013-14) they canceled four shows.
The observant will note that The 100 is now also a toss up to be canceled or renewed. More on that next week.
With the reaper’s predictions that iZombie & Crazy Ex-Girlfriend are certain to be canceled, those are only two other shows that are possible cancellations at the moment.
The reaper’s running tally on CW shows this season:
Push: (renewed or canceled while a toss up):
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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.