CW Predictions: ‘Vampire Diaries’ Ratings Hit A Series Low, Still Likely Renewed, For Now

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See all the Reaper’s CW predictions here.


TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Feb 7, 2016)


Reaper Index

Reign (F) (CBS)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂


Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (CBS)😳 


Jane The Virgin (CBS)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂


The Originals (F) (WB):mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


The Vampire Diaries (F) (WB)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂


iZombie (WB)😳 


The 100 (WB)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂


Supernatural (WB):mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


Arrow (WB):mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


DC’s Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂


The Flash (WB):mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


The Vampire Diaries is still likely to be renewed.

While its ratings fell to a series low last Friday, given that networks have typically tolerated ratings 20-30% lower on Friday’s than for Sunday-Thursday shows, the reaper’s not ready yet to change his prediction.

Also, given that most of his other CW predictions are unlikely to change (except, perhaps, those for The 100 and Legends of Tomorrow), you’ll likely be seeing many posts about The Vampire Diaries in the coming months.

Note: The reaper’s away next week, so no new prediction posts, but he’ll be on Twitter as much as he can.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.


😳certain to be cancelled by May, 2016
😥 😥more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016
😐 😐 😐toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:certain to be renewed by May, 2016

The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.