TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Jan 31, 2016)
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (CBS)||😳|
|Reign (F) (CBS)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|Jane The Virgin (CBS)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The Originals (F) (WB)|
|The Vampire Diaries (F) (WB)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The 100 (WB)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|DC’s Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The Flash (WB)|
DC’s Legends Of Tomorrow is likely to be renewed. After two episodes it’s the CW’s second highest rated show. Its ratings can fall a long way before it’s in any danger.
The second episode ratings for The 100 fell to a 0.6. That’s probably still in the likely renewed range, so no change at this time from the reaper.
The first ratings for The Vampire Diaries and The Originals on Friday were where they left off in the Fall. Declines could leave The Vampire Diaries vulnerable, but The Originals is guaranteed a season 4.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.