TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Jan 24, 2016)
|Reign (F) (CBS)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The 100 (WB)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|DC’s Legends Of Tomorrow (WB)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The Flash (WB)|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (CBS)||😳|
|Jane The Virgin (CBS)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The Originals (WB)|
|The Vampire Diaries (WB)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
Reign is still likely to be renewed.
Even though CBS produced Reign ratings are terrible, and this past Friday’s episode is the last currently scheduled to air, it’s still in better shape than CBS produced ratings loser Beauty & The Beast was when it was pulled off the spring schedule before finishing its second season in the summer two years ago.
At the time, Beauty & The Beast had only 38 episodes aired, Reign has now aired 54 episodes.
At the end of season two, Beauty & The Beast had only 44 episodes. At the end of its current season three, Reign will have aired 63 episodes.
Beauty & The Beast will finish its low rated life with four seasons of 70 episodes.
No guarantee as to how many episodes will be in Reign’s season 4, or when it will air, but CBS produced shows on the CW that make it to three seasons are likely coming back for another season, no matter how terrible their ratings are.
Premiere ratings for DC Legends of Tomorrow put it well out of reach of the reaper, and ratings for The 100 started in the likely renewed zone as well, but predictions can change quickly early in a show’s run. Stay tuned.
Of the 11 scripted shows that have aired on the CW this season, the top 8 are all Warner Brothers productions, and the bottom 3 are all CBS productions. Call it what you want, horse trading, corporate balance or affirmative action, CBS ratings losers get renewed on the CW at ratings levels that would doom a WB produced show.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.