TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Jan 24, 2016)
|Blood & Oil*||canceled|
|Agent Carter||😐 😐 😐|
|Dr. Ken (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|American Crime||😐 😐 😐|
|Last Man Standing (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|Castle||😐 😐 😐|
|Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.|
|Quantico||😐 😐 😐|
|Fresh Off The Boat||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The Muppets||😐 😐 😐|
|Once Upon A Time||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|How To Get Away With Murder|
|Grey’s Anatomy||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
American Crime is a toss up to be canceled or renewed.
Its second season ratings have been bad, but amazingly, not as relatively bad as they were in its first season when it was renewed.
Last spring it was renewed at just 68% of the ABC scripted ratings average. This season it’s currently at 72% of the ABC 2016 ratings average.
The reaper will predict one way or the other before decisions are known, but for now, it’s too close to call.
Agent Carter premiere ratings set new lows, well below last season’s lowest. The reaper’s not so quick to doom a season two show, so he’ll start his prediction for it at a “toss up”. Stay tuned.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.