TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Dec 27, 2015 – Jan 17, 2016)
|Blood & Oil*||canceled|
|Dr. Ken (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|American Crime||😐 😐 😐|
|Last Man Standing (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|Castle||😐 😐 😐|
|Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.|
|Quantico||😐 😐 😐|
|Fresh Off The Boat||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|The Muppets||😐 😐 😐|
|Once Upon A Time||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
|How To Get Away With Murder|
|Grey’s Anatomy||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂|
Galavant is likely to be canceled.
The Cancellation Bear famously predicted certain cancellation for Galavant last season and it became one of his big misses. Then s2 e1 was named after him.
This season Galavant ratings are far lower relative to other ABC scripted shows at this point (45%) vs. last season’s final relative rating (76%).
Given last year’s renewal, even those dreadful results aren’t getting the reaper to go certain to be canceled. He wonders whether simply likely to be canceled will get s3 ep1 named “Don’t Fear The Reaper”.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.