TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Sep 21, 2015 – Dec 6, 2015)
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (CBS)||😳||0.44|
|Reign (F) (CBS)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.46|
|Jane The Virgin (CBS)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.61|
|The Originals (WB)||0.63|
|The Vampire Diaries (WB)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.87|
|The Flash (WB)||2.22|
The Originals is certain to be renewed.
The (Recently Updated) Guarantee of The Syndication Gods
No show produced by a network’s own studio (All CW scripted shows are produced by CW network owners CBS or WB), in the past eight seasons that finished its third season with at least 66 episodes has failed to get renewed for a fourth season.
Is the reaper repeating himself? Yes, he is. But with only nine scripted shows, repeating multiple shows in CW headlines is inevitable.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.