TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Sept. 21, 2015 – Nov 29, 2015)
|Blood & Oil||canceled||0.58|
|Nashville||😐 😐 😐||0.63|
|Castle||😐 😐 😐||0.69|
|Last Man Standing (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.72|
|Dr. Ken (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.74|
|Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.||0.85|
|Quantico||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.88|
|Fresh Off The Boat||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.93|
|Once Upon A Time||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.94|
|The Muppets||😐 😐 😐||0.96|
|How To Get Away With Murder||1.25|
|Grey’s Anatomy||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.40|
Agents of SHIELD is certain to be renewed. That headlined the reaper’s first post of the season, but in a week with nothing new for ABC predictions, it’s worth repeating.
The (Recently Updated) Guarantee of The Syndication Gods
No show produced by a network’s own studio (AoS is produced by ABC), in the past eight seasons that finished its third season with at least 66 episodes has failed to get renewed for a fourth season.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.