NBC Predictions: Why Isn’t ‘Law & Order:SVU’ Certain To Be Renewed?

See all the Reaper’s NBC predictions here.

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TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Sept. 21, 2015 – Nov 22, 2015)

ProgramStatusReaper Index
Truth Be Told (F)canceled0.46
Undateable (F)😥 😥0.56
The Playercanceled0.61
Grimm (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂0.72
The Mysteries of Laura😳0.82
Heroes Reborn😐 😐 😐0.94
The Blacklist:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.10
Chicago P.D.renewed1.10
Law & Order: SVU🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂1.19
Chicago Firerenewed1.35
Chicago Med🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂1.62

Why isn’t Law & Order: SVU certain to be renewed?

Mariska Hargitay’s contract is up for renewal.

There’s a non-zero chance a new deal won’t be signed, so the reaper will likely leave his prediction at “likely renewed” for the remainder of the season.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.


😳certain to be cancelled by May, 2016
😥 😥more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016
😐 😐 😐toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:certain to be renewed by May, 2016

The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.