Fox Predictions: ‘Last Man On Earth’ Is Likely To Be Canceled

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See all the Reaper’s Fox predictions here.

lastmanonearthlikelycanceled

TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Sept. 21, 2015 – Nov 15, 2015)

ProgramStatusReaper Index
Minority Reportcanceled0.47
Sleepy Hollow😥 😥0.59
The Grinder😥 😥0.63
Bob’s Burgersrenewed0.70
Grandfathered😐 😐 😐0.71
Scream Queens😐 😐 😐0.75
Bones😐 😐 😐0.77
The Last Man On Earth😥 😥0.79
Brooklyn Nine-Nine:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:0.95
Family Guy:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:0.95
Gotham:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:0.96
Rosewood:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.10
The Simpsonsrenewed1.24
Empire:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:3.24


Last Man On Earth has been a predicted “toss up” nearly all season. But it has only 13 episodes ordered for this (its second) season, and last week it was left off of Fox’s mid-season schedule. For that reason, the reaper’s moving his prediction for it down to “likely to be canceled”.

Rosewood’s prediction change to “certain to be renewed” still hasn’t made the headline. Maybe it will next week. It’s, by far, the most successful new Fox show this season.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

😳certain to be cancelled by May, 2016
😥 😥more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016
😐 😐 😐toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:certain to be renewed by May, 2016


The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.