CBS Predictions: ‘Elementary’ Now A “Toss Up” To Be Canceled Or Renewed

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See all the Reaper’s CBS predictions here.


TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Sept. 21, 2015 – Nov 15, 2015)

ProgramStatusReaper Index
Elementary😐 😐 😐0.57
Hawaii Five-0 (F)😐 😐 😐0.64
The Good Wife😐 😐 😐0.66
Blue Bloods (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂0.73
NCIS: Los Angeles🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂0.74
Code Black😳0.74
Madam Secretary🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂0.78
Mom🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂0.90
Limitless🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂0.95
2 Broke Girls🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂0.96
Criminal Minds:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.00
NCIS: New Orleans:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.00
Scorpion:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.11
Life in Pieces🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂1.20
NCIS:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.34
Supergirl🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂1.40
The Big Bang Theoryrenewed2.39

Until last week, the reaper had a pretty good idea of which CBS dramas would be canceled this season. CSI: Cyber definitely, Person Of Interest likely, and maybe Hawaii Five-0 or The Good Wife.

However, the collapse of Elementary ratings last week (after a weak premiere) is stirring things up. It’s still unlikely that CBS would cancel a fourth season drama they produce (the last such show was The Unit), but given Elementary’s ratings it’s not out of the question. The show is now a “toss up” to be canceled or renewed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.


😳certain to be cancelled by May, 2016
😥 😥more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016
😐 😐 😐toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:certain to be renewed by May, 2016

The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.