TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Sept. 21, 2015 – Nov 8, 2015)
|Blood & Oil||canceled||0.57|
|Nashville||😐 😐 😐||0.63|
|Castle||😐 😐 😐||0.67|
|Last Man Standing (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.71|
|Dr. Ken (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.74|
|Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.||0.86|
|Quantico||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.90|
|Once Upon A Time||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.94|
|Fresh Off The Boat||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.95|
|The Muppets||😐 😐 😐||1.03|
|How To Get Away With Murder||1.22|
|Grey’s Anatomy||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.37|
While the reaper changed his prediction for Dr. Ken to “likely renewed” last week, this week it gets into the headline.
Networks have shown that they’ll accept 20-30% lower ratings on Fridays vs. Sunday-Thursday. Given that, Dr. Ken’s ratings make it more likely to be renewed than not.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.