TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Sept. 21, 2015 – Oct 18, 2015)
|Reign (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.42|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend||😥 😥||0.42|
|Jane The Virgin||😐 😐 😐||0.56|
|The Vampire Diaries||😐 😐 😐||0.83|
|iZombie||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.83|
Even within the kiddie pool that is CW ratings, the premiere ratings for Crazy Ex-Girlfriend mark it as “likely to be canceled”.
How can Jane the Virgin be a “toss up” after its woeful premiere ratings? Three words: CBS Studios Production. The reaper is considering breaking the CW index in two. One for the relatively high rated WB shows, and one for the low rated CBS shows (Jane, Reign, CEG). Stay tuned.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2016|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2016|
The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.