CW Predictions: ‘Vampire Diaries’ Starts As A “Toss Up” To Be Canceled Or Renewed

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See all the Reaper’s CW predictions here.


TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Sept. 21, 2015 – Oct 11, 2015)

ProgramStatusReaper Index
Reign (F)🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂0.37
The Originals:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:0.49
The Vampire Diaries😐 😐 😐0.74
iZombie🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂0.86
Supernatural:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.11
Arrow:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.35
The Flash:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:2.09

The reaper is very used to crazy fans advocating for their shows in danger (usually, crazily).

He’s less used to crazy anti-fans hoping a show will be canceled, but he’s encountered plenty of them for The Vampire Diaries. Not that they matter, but its ratings do. With the low rated CW Monday shows yet to premiere, TVD’s premiere ratings put it into the “toss up” range. That’s liable to change once Monday’s ratings arrive. Stay tuned.

How can The Originals be certain to be renewed with such low ratings? This is how.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.


😳certain to be cancelled by May, 2016
😥 😥more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016
😐 😐 😐toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:certain to be renewed by May, 2016

The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.