ABC Predictions: ‘Blood & Oil’ Is Likely To Be Canceled

See all the Reaper’s ABC predictions here.

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TV Grim Reaperย predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016. (The Reaper Index includes ratings from Sept. 21, 2015 – Sept 27, 2015)

ProgramStatusReaper Index
Last Man Standing (F)๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜0.51
Nashville๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜0.56
Castle๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜0.56
Blood & Oil๐Ÿ˜ฅ ๐Ÿ˜ฅ0.65
Once Upon A Time๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚0.84
Fresh Off The Boat๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚0.89
Quantico๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚0.89
The Middle๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚0.98
The Goldbergs:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.12
black-ish:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.12
How To Get Away With Murder:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.21
Grey’s Anatomy๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚1.30
The Muppets๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚1.35
Modern Family:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.49
Scandal:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:1.54
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


Blood & Oil premiere ratings put it in the range that make it likely to be canceled. The Reaper thought about going directly to “certain to be canceled”, but he’s got 30+ more weeks of ABC headlines to write and he’ll keep his powder dry.

No other rookie shows seem in immediate danger. Both Castle and Last Man Standing premiered with very low ratings. Their fates will be interesting for the Reaper to predict.

Late 9/29 Edit: The reaper has Grey’s Anatomy as just “likely renewed” because to the best of his knowledgeย all the main cast contracts expire at the end of this season. That introduces a certain level of risk to renewal no matter the ratings.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Reaperย Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

๐Ÿ˜ณcertain to be cancelled by May,ย 2016
๐Ÿ˜ฅ ๐Ÿ˜ฅmore likely to be cancelled than renewed by May,ย 2016
๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜toss up between renewal or cancellation by May,ย 2016
๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May,ย 2016
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:certain to be renewed by May,ย 2016


Theย Reaperย Indexย is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good haveย TV Grim Reaper’s predictions beenย in past seasons?ย Seeย his past prediction record here.