Fox Predictions: Why Isn’t ‘Brooklyn Nine-Nine’ Certain To Be Renewed?

Posted by

See all the Reaper’s Fox predictions here.


TV Grim Reaper predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2015-16 season in May, 2016.

The Simpsonsalready renewed
Brooklyn Nine-Nine🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

The TV Grim Reaper will bring plenty of bad news for TV show fans this season, but his first predictions of the new season are always good news!

While it’s highly likely, why isn’t Brooklyn Nine-Nine season four renewal a certainty?

Brooklyn Nine-Nine is produced by NBCU. Until last season, it was seemingly guaranteed that every show (no matter the producer) with three full seasons of at least 66 episodes would get a fourth season. However that guarantee was proven unreliable when The Mindy Project  (also produced by NBCU) was cancelled by Fox after it’s third season and 67 episodes.

Henceforth, in such cases of third party producers, another rule will apply:

The Very Strong Suggestion Of The Syndication Gods
A show that finishes its third season with at least 66 episodes, but isn’t produced by the network’s own studio, is very likely, but not certain to be renewed for a fourth season.

Sleepy Hollow will have (at most) just 53 episodes at the end of its current season 3, not enough for the Syndication Gods to guarantee a s4.

And for those not scoring at home, The Simpsons was renewed for two seasons last year.

Follow TV Grim Reaper on Twitter, Facebook, Tumblr, Google+, Email or RSS.

*shows no longer on the air have their Reaper Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.


😳certain to be cancelled by May, 2016
😥 😥more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2016
😐 😐 😐toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2016
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:certain to be renewed by May, 2016

The Reaper Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.