Predictions Week 32: #TheCatch Is Likely To Be Canceled

See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2017-18 season or cancellations by the end of the 2016-17 season. 

ABC
Program% Renewal Chance
Secrets And Lies5%
The Real O’Neals15%
Quantico20%
American Crime25%
Imaginary Mary25%
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.35%
The Catch45%
Once Upon A Time60%
Dr. Ken80%
Designated Survivor90%
Fresh Off The Boat90%
Last Man Standing90%
American Housewife99%
Modern Family99%
Speechless99%
The Goldbergs99%
black-ish100%
Convictioncanceled
Notoriouscanceled
Time After Timecanceled
Grey’s Anatomy renewed
How To Get Away With Murder renewed
Scandalrenewed
The Middlerenewed
CBS
Program% Renewal Chance
Ransom5%
Elementary10%
2 Broke Girls45%
Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders45%
The Great Indoors45%
Code Black 55%
Doubtcanceled
Pure Geniuscanceled
The Odd Couplecanceled
Training Daycanceled
Blue Bloods renewed
Bullrenewed
Criminal Minds renewed
Hawaii Five-0 renewed
Kevin Can Waitrenewed
Life in Pieces renewed
MacGyver renewed
Madam Secretaryrenewed
Man With A Planrenewed
Momrenewed
NCIS renewed
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed
NCIS: New Orleansrenewed
Scorpionrenewed
Superior Donutsrenewed
The Big Bang Theoryrenewed
CW
Program% Renewal Chance
Frequency5%
No Tomorrow5%
The Originals45%
iZombie65%
Reign canceled
The Vampire Diaries canceled
Arrowrenewed
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend renewed
DC’s Legends Of Tomorrowrenewed
Jane The Virginrenewed
Riverdalerenewed
Supergirl renewed
Supernaturalrenewed
The 100renewed
The Flashrenewed
Fox
Program% Renewal Chance
Scream Queens 5%
Making History10%
Sleepy Hollow 10%
Pitch15%
The Exorcist 15%
APB20%
Rosewood 25%
Son of Zorn35%
New Girl45%
Shots Fired45%
24: Legacy55%
Prison Break55%
The Last Man On Earth75%
Brooklyn Nine-Nine95%
Gotham95%
Family Guy 99%
Bonescanceled
Bob’s Burgersrenewed
Empirerenewed
Lethal Weaponrenewed
Luciferrenewed
Starrenewed
The Mickrenewed
The Simpsons renewed
NBC
Program% Renewal Chance
Emerald City 10%
Timeless20%
Taken30%
The Blacklist: Redemption30%
Trial And Error40%
Blindspot65%
The Blacklist75%
Chicago Justice90%
Chicago Fire99%
Chicago Med99%
Chicago P.D.99%
Law & Order: SVU 99%
Grimm canceled
Powerlesscanceled
Shades Of Bluerenewed
Superstore renewed
The Good Placerenewed
This Is Usrenewed


The Catch is likely to be canceled.

Last Spring The Catch was renewed with 75% of the ABC scripted ratings average. This Spring it’s at 58%. The reaper’s guessing that’s below ABC’s renewal threshold even for a sophomore show, but his confidence is low. That’s why he’s set it at a 45% renewal chance.

The Great Indoors is likely to be canceled.

The reaper’s moved his prediction down to just a 45% renewal chance. Given that it’s a CBS Studios show, there’s no obvious reason it wouldn’t have been renewed with the big batch of earlier CBS renewals except for the fact that it not going to get renewed. Its ratings were well above the CBS scripted average, but, like The Millers, there might be some unknown problem with the show that we may never learn about.

Where did the emojis go? Why did the prediction table change? Explained in the Week 24 post here.

Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.

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The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 45-0-2

  • Right: Notorious, The Simpsons, Conviction, Pure Genius, Jane The Virgin, Supernatural, Legends of Tomorrow, Arrow, Supergirl, The Flash, Empire, This Is Us, The Middle, The Good Place, Scandal, Greys Anatomy, How To Get Away With Murder, Lucifer, Superstore, Star, Lethal Weapon, The Mick, Doubt, The 100, Training Day, Shades Of Blue, Big Bang Theory, Superior Donuts, Life In Pieces, MacGyver, Hawaii Five-0, Blue Bloods, NCIS:LA, NCIS:NO, Man With A Plan, Kevin Can Wait, Bull, Mom, Madam Secretary, Scorpion, Time After Time, Criminal Minds, The Odd Couple, Powerless
  • Wrong:
  • Draw (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Crazy Ex-Girlfriend, Riverdale

Reign, canceled before the reaper had a prediction for it, is not included in the tally above.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.


Also published on Medium.